iShares U.S. Home Construction

  • TickerITB
  • ISINUS4642887529
  • ExchangeNYSE Arca
  • SectorNonequity Investment Instruments
  • CountryUnited States
Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Constructive Pullback Coronavirus concerns are hitting stocks due to prospects of lower economic growth. A question we ask ourselves is whether the worst of the declines are behind us and that the pullback is likely to be a buying opportunity, or is this the beginning of a much larger correction? We lean towards the former, and believe this to be a healthy and constructive pullback of the 5-7% variety in the S&P 500 (peak-to-trough is currently -3.7%). We explain our thought process below. • Bent, Not Broken. Several key areas of the market have deteriorated, however none are truly breaking ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

The following synopsis provides Summary details of our current investment outlook: • U.S. dollar: The U.S. dollar had attempted a breakdown but has thus far held firm at the 96.61 level. However, the longer-term downtrend remains intact with the dollar unable to overtake its 200-day moving average at 97.70. A break to the downside will tip the scale in the direction of emerging markets and precious metals, while a break to the upside will likely foster another surge into growth related names. • High yield spreads: Spreads continue to narrow and suggest a risk-on environment. The Fed remain...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Market purgatory continues Despite the generally positive developments highlighted below, our outlook remains neutral and we see the S&P 500 remaining rangebound between support at 2,720-2,730 and resistance at the all-time highs of 2,954. We continue to believe an eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be the deciding factor as to where the market is headed next. • U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has weakened and is testing critical support. We continue to believe further weakening has the potential to save global risk assets by providing a tailwind for EM/foreign equities and the commodi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy We are downgrading our outlook to neutral as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, weakness in “Dr.” copper, and crude oil's breakdown. • Key levels on S&P 500, U.S. dollar. Our neutral outlook is supported by a consolidating market and a number of mixed technical signals. On the S&P 500 we are watching for support at 2,800 (with secondary support at the 200-day MA) and resistance a...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Triple top? Or pullback opportunity? Despite U.S.-China tariff escalation and market weakness last week, major indexes - both domestic and foreign - are not yet breaking down. Neither are several important cyclical/risk-on areas of the market. At the same time, they are testing important support levels. Below we highlight several developments we are watching which, if support levels are broken, may alter our positive outlook. • Markets at logical support: As the S&P 500 Equal Weight index grapples with resistance and the potential for a triple top, it is not yet breaking down on a short-ter...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Constructive Pullback Coronavirus concerns are hitting stocks due to prospects of lower economic growth. A question we ask ourselves is whether the worst of the declines are behind us and that the pullback is likely to be a buying opportunity, or is this the beginning of a much larger correction? We lean towards the former, and believe this to be a healthy and constructive pullback of the 5-7% variety in the S&P 500 (peak-to-trough is currently -3.7%). We explain our thought process below. • Bent, Not Broken. Several key areas of the market have deteriorated, however none are truly breaking ...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion Macro Vision: Sector Synopsis

The following synopsis provides Summary details of our current investment outlook: • U.S. dollar: The U.S. dollar had attempted a breakdown but has thus far held firm at the 96.61 level. However, the longer-term downtrend remains intact with the dollar unable to overtake its 200-day moving average at 97.70. A break to the downside will tip the scale in the direction of emerging markets and precious metals, while a break to the upside will likely foster another surge into growth related names. • High yield spreads: Spreads continue to narrow and suggest a risk-on environment. The Fed remain...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Market purgatory continues Despite the generally positive developments highlighted below, our outlook remains neutral and we see the S&P 500 remaining rangebound between support at 2,720-2,730 and resistance at the all-time highs of 2,954. We continue to believe an eventual breakout or breakdown is likely to be the deciding factor as to where the market is headed next. • U.S. dollar. The U.S. dollar has weakened and is testing critical support. We continue to believe further weakening has the potential to save global risk assets by providing a tailwind for EM/foreign equities and the commodi...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Upgrading Staples, Downgrading Energy We are downgrading our outlook to neutral as a result of several negative developments, including breakdowns for EM (EEM) and China (MCHI, FXI), steep price and RS uptrend violations for Technology (XLK, RYT), improving RS for defensive areas of the market, weakness in “Dr.” copper, and crude oil's breakdown. • Key levels on S&P 500, U.S. dollar. Our neutral outlook is supported by a consolidating market and a number of mixed technical signals. On the S&P 500 we are watching for support at 2,800 (with secondary support at the 200-day MA) and resistance a...

Dave Nicoski ...
  • Ross LaDuke

Vermilion ETF Pathfinder: Actionable ETF research & Ideas

Triple top? Or pullback opportunity? Despite U.S.-China tariff escalation and market weakness last week, major indexes - both domestic and foreign - are not yet breaking down. Neither are several important cyclical/risk-on areas of the market. At the same time, they are testing important support levels. Below we highlight several developments we are watching which, if support levels are broken, may alter our positive outlook. • Markets at logical support: As the S&P 500 Equal Weight index grapples with resistance and the potential for a triple top, it is not yet breaking down on a short-ter...

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