Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S raises its full year guidance
| Company Announcement No. 45/2020 |
Copenhagen, 18 December 2020
Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S raises its full year guidance
Throughout 2020, COVID-19 induced changes in consumer behaviour have led to higher than anticipated consumption of handmade cigars in the US. The high demand, has increased further in the latter part of the year in the Group’s US online distribution channel as well as in the US brick and mortar retail channel and the Group has continued to perform well. January-November 2020, the organic growth in net sales is 7% for the Group and higher than previously expected.
As a consequence of the high demand, the results in the Group’s financial performance in the fourth quarter, are better than expected. The higher volumes from US online and US brick and mortar have positively impacted operational leverage and resulted in stronger profit margins and an increased organic growth in EBITDA. The other business categories perform as expected.
Overall, the fourth quarter results continue to be negatively impacted by the loading in previous quarters and very strong comparison numbers partly driven by the change in sales taxing in France in the fourth quarter of 2019, as referenced in connection with our third quarter announcement.
It was expected that the fourth quarter would see a negative timing impact of payables which did not materialise. For the full year 2020 this is resulting in an estimated >DKK 200 million positive impact on the free cash flow before acquisitions.
Based on the above the Group’s full-year expectations for 2020 are revised up as follows:
- EBITDA: Organic growth >13% (previously: >9%)
- Free cash flow before acquisitions: >DKK 1,250 million (previously: >DKK 1,000 million)
The changes in shopping and consumer behaviour and increased demand for handmade cigars in light of the continued COVID-19 impact are likely to continue into next year. More detailed financial expectations for the full year 2021 will be communicated in connection with the announcement of Scandinavian Tobacco Groups Annual Report 2020 on 10 March 2021.
For further information, please contact:
Investors: Torben Sand, Head of Investor Relations,
phone: or
Media: Simon Mehl Augustesen, Director of Group Communications,
phone: or
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