TOP Topdanmark A/S

Topdanmark Half-Year Report for 2019

Topdanmark Half-Year Report for 2019

TOPDANMARK HALF-YEAR REPORT FOR 2019

18 July 2019, Announcement No. 10/2019



Key features

H1 2019

  • Post-tax profit of DKK 831m (H1 2018: DKK 613m)
  • EPS was DKK 9.5 (H1 2018: DKK 7.1)
  • Combined ratio: 80.7 (H1 2018: 85.5)
  • Combined ratio excluding run-off: 86.2 (H1 2018: 88.5)
  • Premiums increased by 2.6% in both non-life insurance and in life insurance
  • Profit on life insurance was DKK 219m (H1 2018: DKK 106m)
  • After return on non-life insurance provisions, the investment return was DKK 4m (loss)

    (H1 2018: DKK 41m)
  • As stated in the Q1 Report, the change in the method for calculation of the volatility adjustment (VA) in Q1 2019 had a one-off negative impact on the combined net investment return

    from assets and liabilities of around DKK 200m pre-tax. In Q2 2019, the VA fell by further 9bp corresponding to a negative impact on the investment return of DKK 60m.

Q2 2019

  • Post-tax profit of DKK 391m (Q2 2018: 345m)
  • EPS was DKK 4.5 (Q2 2018: 4.0)
  • Combined ratio: 81.4 (Q2 2018: 85.9)
  • Combined ratio excluding run-off profits: 85.1(Q2 2018: 89.0)
  • Premiums increased 2.5% in non-life insurance and decreased 8.2% in life insurance
  • Profit on life insurance was DKK 109m (Q2 2018: DKK 62m)
  • After return on non-life insurance provisions, the investment return was DKK 21m (loss) (Q2 2018: DKK 60m).

Profit forecast model for 2019

  • The assumed combined ratio for 2019 improved from 86-87 to 85-86, excl. run-off in H2 2019
  • The assumed premium growth for non-life insurance continues to be higher than the growth of 1.7% in 2018
  • The post-tax profit forecast model for 2019 is unchanged DKK 1,250-1,350m, excl. run-off in H2 2019.

Other events

  • For the third consecutive year, Topdanmark has been awarded “The Insurance Company of the Year” prize in Denmark. The prize was awarded by FinansWatch together with EY
  • Furthermore, Topdanmark Livsforsikring was awarded the best life insurance company in the category Growth. This prize was also given by FinansWatch and EY.

Webcast

In a Group Communications and IR Director, Steffen Heegaard, will present the financial highlights and comment on the forecast.

Conference call

A conference call will be held today at 14:00 (CET) where Peter Hermann, CEO and Lars Thykier, CFO will be available for questions based on the interim report and the webcast. The call will be conducted in English.

In order to participate in the conference call, please call:

DK dial-in-number:

SE dial-in-number:

UK dial-in-number: 4

US dial-in-number:

10-15 minutes before the conference and ask the operator to connect you to the Topdanmark conference call – or listen to the of the call.

Please direct any queries to:

Peter Hermann

Chief Executive Officer

Direct tel.:

Lars Thykier

Chief Financial Officer

Direct tel.:

Steffen Heegaard

Group Communications and IR Director

Direct tel.: , mobile tel.:

Attachment

EN
18/07/2019

Underlying

To request access to management, click here to engage with our
partner Phoenix-IR's CorporateAccessNetwork.com

Reports on Topdanmark A/S

MarketLine Department
  • MarketLine Department

Sampo plc - Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A), Partnerships & Alliances

- Track your competitors’ business structure and growth strategies.

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Topdanmark (No_rec, TP: DKK) - Discontinuing coverage

Given Sampo’s pending acquisition of Topdanmark and its subsequent delisting, we have discontinued coverage. Our last published recommendation, target price, and estimates should no longer be relied upon.

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Consolidating forces

A benign quarter without major weather events should lead to strong YOY improvement in earnings across the Nordic non-life sector, helped by favourable financial markets and the ongoing momentum from multiple rounds of premium price rises. Industry consolidation continued with the acquisition of Topdanmark by Sampo, set to be completed by 18 October. The transaction should lead to increased consolidation, promoting rational market behaviour in Denmark. Based on a growing discount to peers, we hi...

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Fredrik Flørnes Støle
  • Jan Erik Gjerland

Weaker underlying outlook

Q2: Weak underlying, but results saved by financials. Adj. EPS down by 4.7%, 1.6% and 2.6%, for '24-26e. Expect share to continue tracking Sampo.

Håkon Astrup
  • Håkon Astrup

Topdanmark (Hold, TP: DKK371.00) - Continued repricing focus

PTP was 19% higher in Q2 YOY as rebounding financial markets helped offset a soft underwriting result. High YOY insurance revenue growth was offset by a sizeable number of large claims and continued high motor-claims frequencies, for which the company continues to raise prices. We have made limited 2025–2026e EPS changes, and reiterate our HOLD. We have raised our target price to DKK371(366), in line with the bid from Sampo.

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch