SA Banks | Low credit risk in commercial property | Time to buy SA banks
Challenging SA economic conditions bring SA REITs credit health and banks' lending to the sector into the spotlight. Our analysis in this report provides greater detail on SA banks' exposure to commercial property and listed REITs. Our stress tests highlight that SA banks' lending to listed REITs (exposed to SA or offshore operations) has been conservative to date. REITs' equity capital and diversified portfolios support the property companies' credit health.While SA banks' near-term earnings growth prospects are geared to SA economic conditions, we highlight that valuations are undemanding using normalised earnings by bank. In our view, positive progress (albeit slow) is being made on important structural reforms. At current levels, we are overweight the sector.
Avior is a globally recognised capital markets research and trading firm, with the broadest research coverage within the region, with 100+ SA and 20+ SSA companies under coverage. Avior services clients from offices in London, Cape Town and Johannesburg.
Our research quality is consistently recognised in local and global surveys, with 18 analysts currently rated in their respective sectors (FM 2017). Value add through in-depth, innovative, high quality and consistent research with comprehensive underlying fundamental modelling supported by regular analyst and roadshow interactions.
Avior has proven that by working closely with our clients we can mutually develop dominant positions in certain sectors, going from strength to strength. Avior has a dedicated ESG team, having been ranked #1 in Corporate Governance research since 2008.
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