Report
Sašo Stanovnik

Luka Koper 9M18: Strong results, even adjusted for positive one-off. On track to deliver or even overdeliver our estimates.

Luka Koper reported stagnation of maritime growth for 9M18 with 3Q18 maritime data showing a 1.4% YoY decrease and mixed data between different segments. Nevertheless, and more importantly, revenue growth was higher, namely 6% YoY for 9M18 and amounted to EUR 168.2m. EBITDA of EUR 78.8m showed 22% YoY growth, however EBITDA is higher also due to some one-offs in the amount of EUR 9.3m. But this still leads to 7% YoY growth in EBITDA for 9M18 vs 9M17, a solid growth indeed. Same goes for net profit, which unadjusted grew by 22% to EUR 48.6m. Net debt to EBITDA is now at 0.2x since CAPEX is lagging behind plan (timing issue) being at EUR 9.5m in 9M18 vs EUR 32.5m in the same period last year. As stated in our 1H18 report, FCF generation will be strong this year, but consequently lower in the next few years when CAPEX gets back on track. Please note we are still expecting margins to lower in the future due to taxation issues and cost surge … included in our FCF albeit risk to downside remain as visibility issues remain. Our target price remains EUR 40 per share with recommendation buy intact from our last report.

Underlying
Luka Koper

Luka Koper dd is a Slovenia-based company engaged in the provision of port and logistics services in the Port of Koper. The Company provides basic port services, such as sorting, palletising, sampling, protection, labelling, weighing, cleaning and other services; management of the economic zone; supporting services; cargo handling; warehousing, and integrated logistics solutions. Through its terminals, the Company handles general cargo, containers, vehicles, dry bulk cargo, liquid bulk cargo, cereals and fodder, livestock, minerals, timber, fruit, alumina, minerals and energy. The Company also offers terminals for cars, containers and roll on-roll off services. Additionally, the Company is engaged in hotel and catering services, as well as waste collection and recycling. As of December 31, 2011, the Company's subsidiaries included Luka Koper Pristan doo, Luka Koper INPO doo, Adria Terminali doo, TOC doo and Luka Koper Deutschland GmbH, as well as several associated companies.

Provider
Alta Invest
Alta Invest

ALTA Invest, investicijske storitve, d.d., (ALTA Invest, investment services, Inc.) is a part of ALTA Group, the biggest financial non-banking group in Slovenia. ALTA Invest has around 28% market share on the domestic Ljubljana Stock Exchange and has more than EUR 95m of assets under management.

Our trading advantage is our execution of large trading blocks with low impact on the market. We offer trading on several platforms on numerous markets, with a wide variety of financial instruments. Our advantage is also a research department, which is both sell side and buy side and has the far most extensive and regular coverage of domestic companies. We cover 9 companies on Ljubljana Stock Exchange, which is around 90% of Mcap on LJSE – and here we are practically the only local broker providing this kind of extensive and regular coverage for Slovenian companies.

A part of ALTA Group are ALTA Skladi, a mutual fund asset management company with roughly EUR 260m of asset under management. ALTA Group is also extensively involved in corporate finance projects and raised considerable assets (fixed income and equity) in the last two years for several companies.

Analysts
Sašo Stanovnik

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