Report
Sašo Stanovnik

Slovenian Weekly Report 5.6.2017-9.6.2017


NLB privatization through IPO process has again been stopped as government did not consent to proposed IPO pricing (which stood at EUR 55 to 72 per share; roughly 0.70x to 0.90x of P/B).

Coalition partners agreed that they are against the sale. They cited several items would hamper the pricing and process: risks related to LB depositors Croatian potential claims against NLB, recent revealed scandal that possibly NLB was involved in laundering money (2009 to 2010 period) and doubts regarding NLB 2013 capital injection (by the state) being too high. Consequently, they believed the current sale would not be beneficial to tax payers. They expressed hope that European Commission will understand this and that they will strike a new deal regarding the 2013 state capital injection / privatization story.

Hard to say what European Commission will be and consequently scenarios that can unfold. However, we always believed and still believe the state (politics) will not give up control over NLB and its operations. This is even more true in case of coalition being formed by parties whose voters have more anti-sale anti-privatization preferences. This news consequently should not be a big surprise.

Adverse weather (string winds) contributed to an accident in Luka Koper port (coal terminal lift). Damages are yet unknown, however the company noted that the operations will be relatively unaffected. More to follow…

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Sašo Stanovnik

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