Slovenian Weekly Regional Overview 10.9.2017 - 14.9.2017
TELEKOM SLOVENIJE:
Newspapers released a rumor on Tuesday, 11th September, that Telekom Slovenije supervisory board will decide whether to settle a dispute with T2 for more than EUR 50m. This translates into at least EUR 7.7 per share. True, Telekom Slovenije had provisions in the amount of EUR 34.3m for lawsuits, albeit not all provisioning is tied to this case (likely majority of it). In addition, nothing is confirmed yet while Telekom Slovenije released a statement that it will not comment any speculations.
T2 lawsuit amounted to roughly EUR 260m (with interest; EUR 129m original) and it is a lengthy dispute that could still last for several years. Therefore the settlement would be somewhat a surprise but could spiral into a question: why settle now? The fact is that balance sheet of Telekom can take it, however it would impact 2018 profit and our valuation by EUR 4.1 (from EUR 83). Also, while our dividend estimate of EUR 5.6 for next year could still be on point, the fact is investors will be nervous about it.
Share price didn't react much however share price was already down by more than 9% from mid July. More to follow…
NLB 1H18:
Slovene biggest bank wholly owned by state reported 1H18 results. Net interest income is up by 2% YoY while profit decreased by 11%. Nevertheless most bank metrics remain strong with ROE of 12.1%.
Privatization is planned, but its still a complex issue that a new government will need to tackle. Don‘t hope to much. More details on page 2.
Telekom Slovenije dd is a Slovenia-based company engaged in the provision of telecommunication services. The Company provides fixed and mobile communications, system integration and cloud computing, construction and maintenance of telecommunication networks, digital content and services, multimedia, digital advertising. It operates under the brands Mobitel and SiOL. The Company's services and products include business bundles, Centreks, Moneta, M vrata, among others. The Company is active in Slovenia, Kosovo, Macedonia, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Croatia, Montenegro and Gibraltar. On November 6, 2013, the Company concluded the transaction of transferring a 100% stake in the capital of PRIMO Communications SHPK to AD-Trade SHPK, Albania. The Company's major shareholder is Slovenska odskodninska druzba dd with a stake of 72.75%.
Zavarovalnica Triglav DD. Zavarovalnica Triglav dd is Slovenian-based company principally engaged in the insurance and financial services. Zavarovalnica Triglav dd is the controlling company of the Triglav Group which offers insurance, asset management and banking services. Zavarovalnica Triglav dd, Zdrastvena zavarovalnica dd and Pozavarovalnica Triglav Re dd provide wealth, life, voluntary additional pension and health insurances. The insurance sector of the Company also operates in the Czech Republic, Croatia, Bosnia and Hercegovina, Montenegro, Serbia and Macedonia. Through Triglav DZU ddo, Triglav Nalozbe financna druzba dd and Triglav nepremicnine dd the Company provides investment fund management, real estate and banking services. As of June 22, 2012, the Company acquired a 100% stake in Investicijsko podjetje, Trgovanje z lastnimi nepremicninami doo from Sava dd.
ALTA Invest, investicijske storitve, d.d., (ALTA Invest, investment services, Inc.) is a part of ALTA Group, the biggest financial non-banking group in Slovenia. ALTA Invest has around 28% market share on the domestic Ljubljana Stock Exchange and has more than EUR 95m of assets under management.
Our trading advantage is our execution of large trading blocks with low impact on the market. We offer trading on several platforms on numerous markets, with a wide variety of financial instruments. Our advantage is also a research department, which is both sell side and buy side and has the far most extensive and regular coverage of domestic companies. We cover 9 companies on Ljubljana Stock Exchange, which is around 90% of Mcap on LJSE – and here we are practically the only local broker providing this kind of extensive and regular coverage for Slovenian companies.
A part of ALTA Group are ALTA Skladi, a mutual fund asset management company with roughly EUR 260m of asset under management. ALTA Group is also extensively involved in corporate finance projects and raised considerable assets (fixed income and equity) in the last two years for several companies.
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