Report

Discovery | Innovating an ecosystem of optionality

Discovery's Vitality network is forming a global ecosystem for innovation. DSY are creating optionality for multiple shared value initiatives by investing c.R500m in the centralised platform, Vitality ONE. With c.70% of costs fixed, we expect the marginal return on capital for Vitality Group to continue increasing as it gains scale. Globally, Vitality adds +200k members monthly, records 1k activities a minute and develops c.18 products a year for its partners. We expect profitability from Vitality Group to increase from R1m in H1'18 to R427m in FY'20 (FY'17: -R110). We believe DSY will rerate to a 22x fwd. PE from 18x due to an accelerating earnings profile.

In Feb '18, Vitality Group announced the launch of Gateway, a frictionless platform for digitally delivered employee benefits. With c.46% of the US population living with a chronic disease, the effective delivery of digital therapeutics is a powerful proposition for employers, health insurers and healthcare providers.

In the following note, we evaluate DSY's potential to monetise Gateway and believe the concept reinforces an accelerating long-term earnings growth profile.
Underlying
Discovery Limited

Discovery is an integrated financial services organisation, focusing on health insurance, life assurance, investments and savings products, wellness and short-term insurance. Co. operates primarily through six subsidiaries which operate in South Africa: Discovery Health, Discovery Life, Discovery Collective Investments and Discovery Investment Services, Discovery Vitality and Discovery Insure. In the U.K., Co., via a subsidiary, Discovery Offshore Holdings Limited, has a joint venture with Prudential plc., the PruProtection group of companies, which provide health and life insurance products. In the U.S., The Vitality Group Inc. provides Vitality as a stand-alone product.

Provider
Avior Capital Markets
Avior Capital Markets

Avior is a globally recognised capital markets research and trading firm, with the broadest research coverage within the region, with 100+ SA and 20+ SSA companies under coverage. Avior services clients from offices in London, Cape Town and Johannesburg.

Our research quality is consistently recognised in local and global surveys, with 18 analysts currently rated in their respective sectors (FM 2017). Value add through in-depth, innovative, high quality and consistent research with comprehensive underlying fundamental modelling supported by regular analyst and roadshow interactions.

Avior has proven that by working closely with our clients we can mutually develop dominant positions in certain sectors, going from strength to strength. Avior has a dedicated ESG team, having been ranked #1 in Corporate Governance research since 2008.

Analysts
Warwick Bam

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Avior Capital Markets

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch