Avior Capital Markets - East African Breweries Ltd (EABL) EABL | 99 problems but a beer aint one

Report

Avior Capital Markets

Ross Hindle

EABL | 99 problems but a beer ain't one

East African Breweries grew revenue by 12% for the full year ending June 2019 (Avior: +12% y/y). Strong volume growth (+11% y/y) contributed to the increase. Strong performances in mainstream spirits, bottled beer and Senator Keg influenced volume growth. A positive mix led to operating margins expanding 510bp to 25.7% for the full year. The renewed growth in Senator Keg, with Kenya sales growing by 32% y/y, is encouraging. We believe the segment will continue to influence future growth as the Group ramps up utilisation in the new brewery. We maintain our view that EABL is positioned for growth. Moreover, we forecast 20% CAGR earnings growth to FY'22. The Group is currently trading at a 7.4x forward EV/EBITDA. We believe the counter is undervalued at these levels.

29/07/2019 11 EN

Underlying

East African Breweries Ltd

See profile

KE0000000216 Nairobi Securities Exchange Kenya

Provider

Avior Capital Markets

Avior is a globally recognised capital markets research and trading firm, with the broadest research coverage within the region, with 100+ SA and 20+ SSA companies under coverage. Avior services clients from offices in London, Cape Town and Johannesburg.

Our research quality is consistently recognised in local and global surveys, with 18 analysts currently rated in their respective sectors (FM 2017). Value add through in-depth, innovative, high quality and consistent research with comprehensive underlying fundamental modelling supported by regular analyst and roadshow interactions.

Avior has proven that by working closely with our clients we can mutually develop dominant positions in certain sectors, going from strength to strength. Avior has a dedicated ESG team, having been ranked #1 in Corporate Governance research since 2008.

See profile

Analysts

Ross Hindle

Other Reports on these Companies

Genghis Capital

Genghis Cross-Asset Weekly Strategy - 8th February 2021

In this week's edition of the Weekly Cross-Asset Strategy Report, we give a recap of the equities, fixed income, currencies and derivatives markets' performance over the past week and our trading ideas for the coming week. Our Momentum, Income and Value equities portfolios continue to outperform the benchmark NSE 20 index. Performance of the Momentum and Income portfolios is ahead of all the benchmark indices including the Nairobi All Share Index (NASI) and Zamara Index. Genghis Trading Ideas for the week…Equities LONG-TERM BUY – EABL on recovery of financial performance Released financial r...

February 8, 2021 February 8, 2021 5 EN

Genghis Capital

East African Breweries Ltd (NSE: EABL) 1H21 Earnings Note

East African Breweries Ltd (NSE: EABL) announced weak y/y performance as expected but a rebound h/h with net revenue down 3.1% y/y (+53.2% h/h) to KES 44.5Bn. The h/h recovery follows relaxation of pandemic-related restrictions in the July-Dec 2020 period with volumes (-5.0% y/y) and sales almost normalizing to pre-pandemic levels in 2019. In addition to the weak volumes, the business grappled with weaker currency, higher direct costs (gross margin at 43.5% from 47.7% in 1H20) and one-off tax provision which led to a faster drop in Profit Before Tax (PBT) of 45.0% y/y despite the resilient sal...

January 29, 2021 January 29, 2021 4 EN

Genghis Capital

GENGHIS CAPITAL PLAYBOOK 2021: Navigating the Now Normal

Dear Investors,No, that’s not a typo. The theme is just what it is, ‘Navigating the Now Normal’. The COVID-19 shock upended the world last year with far-reaching consequences; an earthquake of a magnitude 9 comes closer. While the rollout of the vaccines this year are meant to be a shot in the arm (no pun intended) to global economies, we are alive to the fact that the pandemic’s scars will still linger longer. Not only has COVID-19 exposed the domestic economy’s soft spots, but the spillover effect has weighed heavily on investment opportunities. This year’s Playbook navigates this ‘now norm...

January 20, 2021 January 20, 2021 25 EN

Tiger Brands | ESG | Pressed to execute

TBS receives a corporate governance score of 3.37 out of 5 (FY '18: 3.42) and is rated as â€˜good'. TBS receives an ESG risk score of 2.6 (FY '18: 2.6) which we consider moderate. As in FY '18, there were various changes to the Board which raises corporate governance concerns surrounding succession planning and the execution of strategies. Post year-end, L Mac Dougall retired as CEO of the Group. N Doyle has become the new CEO of the Group as of 1 Feb '20. We note the corporate governance concerns around the appointment of N Doyle given that he left the Group at an important juncture in FY...

February 7, 2020 February 7, 2020 15 EN

Ayan Ghosh

Ayan Ghosh

SA Investment Strategy | Review of January 2020 for SA investors: Coronavirus weighs on the ZAR

From an SA asset-allocation perspective, SA Bonds (ALBI +1.2%) outperformed cash (STEFI +0.6%) and equities (Capped SWIX -2.6%) in Jan â€˜20. The ZAR was the worst performing EM currency in Jan â€˜20, depreciating by 6.8% against the USD, as EM risk appetite declined, with the Coronavirus spreading further than the Sars virus, which began in 2002, likely to hit global growth. Our discussions with various corporates in China suggest that the Coronavirus will peak over the coming weeks and could take until Mar '20 to resolve. In USDs, MSCI SA (-8.8%) underperformed MSCI EM (-4.7%) in 2020, as ...

February 5, 2020 February 5, 2020 9 EN

Harry Botha

Harry Botha

SA Banks | Low credit risk in commercial property | Time to buy SA banks

Challenging SA economic conditions bring SA REITs credit health and banks' lending to the sector into the spotlight. Our analysis in this report provides greater detail on SA banks' exposure to commercial property and listed REITs. Our stress tests highlight that SA banks' lending to listed REITs (exposed to SA or offshore operations) has been conservative to date. REITs' equity capital and diversified portfolios support the property companies' credit health. While SA banks' near-term earnings growth prospects are geared to SA economic conditions, we highlight that valuations are undemandin...

January 28, 2020 January 28, 2020 36 EN

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

Email Address*

Choose Password* ( 6 or more characters )

Due to regulatory restrictions regarding the distribution of financial research, this report is restricted to a specific region or investor type. Get access to exclusive reports by answering the questions below.

Select your country*

Get financial insights straight to your inbox

By clicking "register" you accept the Terms and Conditions & Privacy Policy

Already on ResearchPool?

Almost there...

Are you a professional investor?

Select your country

REGISTER

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

In order to access this report please create an account.

LOGIN

EABL | 99 problems but a beer ain't one

Genghis Cross-Asset Weekly Strategy - 8th February 2021

East African Breweries Ltd (NSE: EABL) 1H21 Earnings Note

GENGHIS CAPITAL PLAYBOOK 2021: Navigating the Now Normal

Tiger Brands | ESG | Pressed to execute

SA Investment Strategy | Review of January 2020 for SA investors: Coronavirus weighs on the ZAR

SA Banks | Low credit risk in commercial property | Time to buy SA banks

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe

ResearchPool Subscriptions

This report is only available to subscribers

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe