Report
Matthew Shields

Glencore | Operations unhindered by subpoena

GLN's H1 '18 results were in line with market expectations but fell short of our estimates. EPS increased by 12% y/y to USc19/share while EPS pre-significant items increased by 44% y/y to USc23/share. Negatively, unit costs for copper and zinc were above GLN's prior guidance due to lower by-product credits and resulted in the Group revising up its FY '18f cost guidance. While we believe that the subpoena from the DoJ continues to represent a large unknown risk to GLN, the Group's operations appear to continue unhindered.

We do not expect further de-gearing in FY ‘18f. However, a reduction in net debt in FY ‘19f should lead to increased returns to shareholders. In our view, GLN would favour share buybacks in the short-term given the Group's view that its “current equity price materially undervalues the business”.
Underlying
Glencore plc

Glencore is engaged as a natural resource companies. Co. is organized and operates on a worldwide basis in three main business segments: Metals and minerals, which comprised of zinc, copper, lead, alumina, aluminium, ferroalloys, nickel, cobalt and iron ore; Energy products, which comprised of crude oil, oil products, steam coal and metallurgical coal; and Agricultural products, which comprised of wheat, corn, canola, barley, rice, oil seeds, meals, edible oils, biofuels, cotton and sugar supported by investments in storage, handling, processing and port facilities.

Provider
Avior Capital Markets
Avior Capital Markets

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Analysts
Matthew Shields

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