Report
Matthew Shields

South32 | Balance sheet breather

S32 released better than expected FY '18 results. Earnings benefitted from higher commodity prices which offset lower volumes and inflationary pressures. S32 believes that inflationary pressures will remain prevalent in FY ‘19f. However, we estimate that Group production should increase by 5% y/y in FY ‘19f offering some relief.

We expect the Group to be cash flow negative in FY ‘19f. Thus, we believe that S32 will aim to consolidate its balance sheet before returning excess capital to shareholders. Elsewhere, S32 plans to continue growing its greenfield exploration programme in an effort to extend the life of its portfolio. S32's strategy to exit SA Energy coal is progressing according to plan.
Underlying
South32 Ltd.

South32 is engaged in mining and metal production from a portfolio of assets for the commodities of alumina, aluminium, bauxite, energy and metallurgical coal, manganese ore, manganese alloy, nickel, silver, lead and zinc. As of June 30 2016, Co. operated 10 segments, which were comprised of: Worsley Alumina, South Africa Aluminium, Brazil Alumina, Mozal Aluminium, South Africa Energy Coal, Illawarra Metallurgical Coal, Australia Manganese, South Africa Manganese, Cerro Matoso, and Cannington.

Provider
Avior Capital Markets
Avior Capital Markets

Avior is a globally recognised capital markets research and trading firm, with the broadest research coverage within the region, with 100+ SA and 20+ SSA companies under coverage. Avior services clients from offices in London, Cape Town and Johannesburg.

Our research quality is consistently recognised in local and global surveys, with 18 analysts currently rated in their respective sectors (FM 2017). Value add through in-depth, innovative, high quality and consistent research with comprehensive underlying fundamental modelling supported by regular analyst and roadshow interactions.

Avior has proven that by working closely with our clients we can mutually develop dominant positions in certain sectors, going from strength to strength. Avior has a dedicated ESG team, having been ranked #1 in Corporate Governance research since 2008.

Analysts
Matthew Shields

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