Saeta Yield will report its 1Q17 results on 10th March before the market opening, followed by a conference call on 11th March at 12:00h CET.
For 1Q17e, we expect a –11% decline in generation to 241 GWh. The best news is the recovery in electricity prices, +115% from 1Q16. We expect a +47% increase in sales to €73mn, primarily driven by higher pool prices. We estimate the EBITDA to increase at the same pace as sales, +76% for the EBIT, and PBT and the net profit to turn into the black (€4.0mn and €3.0mn, respectively) from last year’s losses, while CAFD should decline –35% to €30mn but this will comfortably allow to pay dividends that we expect the dividend to be unchanged from a year ago.
Our Buy recommendation and €11.70 target price are unchanged.
Saeta Yield SA is a Spain-based company engaged in the utility industry. The Company specializes in the production of energy from renewable sources. Its business activities are divided into two segments: Solar thermal plants and Wind farms. The Solar thermal plants segment comprises solar energy generation installations in Spain. The Wind farms sector is responsible for the operation of a range of wind farms located in various countries, including Spain, Uruguay and Portugal. It cooperates with Actividades de Construccion y Servicios SA (ACS). Furthermore, the Company is a parent of a number of entities, such as Extresol 1 SL, Al-Andalus Wind Power SL, Parque Eolico Valcaire SL, which are active within the energy production sector.
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