We expect that Spanish banks will post €3.7bn in 2Q17e aggregated net profit, implying a +16.2% increase yoy. Operating trends will be similar to those of 1Q17: (a) weak net interest margin, (b) positive evolution of fee income, (c) cost control and (d) asset quality improvement. As we do not expect major surprises, the focus of this reporting season will be (a) the impact on capital of the first implementation of IFRS 9 and (b) the update of the two consolidation processes agreed this quarter: Santander–Popular and Bankia–BMN.
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