Report

Pakistan Banks: Payout constraints increase on new capital requirement

  • Details unveiled in the central bank’s latest press release on Domestic Systemically Important Banks (DSIB) are not entirely unexpected. The central bank has designated three banks-HBL, UBL and NBP- as DSIBs and has put requirement for additional capital in the form of CET-I (2% for HBL, 1.5% for UBL, NBP).
  • Looking at the capital details in 2017 and earnings outlook for CY18, we reckon all three banks do not face any near-term requirement for raising capital to remain in compliance with new requirement, which are due to come in effect from Mar’19.
  • However, we believe the new requirement may restrain cash payout by HBL while room for optimization of RWA may allow UBL to maintain payouts. On the other hand, NBP remains unaffected.
  • Post notification of DSIB framework, all eyes are on notification of Deposit Protection Fund (deposit insurance), which may also entail earnings risk for almost all banks
Underlyings
Bank Alfalah

Bank Alfalah Limited is a holding company. The Company's segments include Retail banking, including loans, deposits, trading activity, wealth management and other banking transactions with its retail and middle market customers; Corporate banking, which includes loans, deposits, project financing, trade financing, investment banking and other banking activities with its corporate and public sector customers; Treasury, including liquidity management activities carried out through borrowing, lending and money market operations; Consumer banking, including constitutes consumer financing activities with individual customers; Islamic banking, pertaining to its full scale Islamic Banking operations; International operations, which includes amounts related to its overseas operations, namely, commercial banking activities in Bangladesh and Afghanistan, and wholesale banking activities in the Kingdom of Bahrain, and Others, including merchant banking related activities.

Habib Bank Limited

Habib Bank Limited is engaged in commercial banking and asset management related services in Pakistan and overseas. The Bank's segments include Branch Banking, which consists of loans, deposits and other banking services to agriculture, consumer, small and medium-sized enterprise (SME), and commercial customers; Corporate Banking, which consists of lending for project finance, trade finance and working capital to corporate customers and it also provides investment banking services, including services provided in connection with mergers and acquisitions; Treasury, which consists of trading, fixed income, equity, derivatives and foreign exchange businesses, and it also includes credit, lending and funding activities with professional market counterparties; International Banking, which is engaged in monitoring and reporting purposes and consists of its operations outside of Pakistan, and Head Office/Others. It operates in Pakistan; Europe, Middle East and America, and Asia and Africa.

MCB Bank Limited

Muslim Commercial Bank, and its subsidiaries, are engaged in commercial banking and the floating, administration and management of modaraba companies, modaraba funds and modarabas.

National Bank of Pakistan

National Bank of Pakistan (the Bank) is a Pakistan-based commercial bank. The Bank provides commercial banking services, including commercial loans, investment advisory, asset management, global remittances, agency services, forex, leasing, modarba, underwriting, brokerage, and other banking and financial services. The Bank offers retail products, which include saving deposits, current deposits, housing finance, personal loans and agricultural loans; transaction banking services, which include cash management, trade finance and services, and remittance management; Corporate Finance services, which include deposits, structured corporate finance, capital advisory, investment advisory and trade finance; Treasury services, which include forex and financial derivatives, and government to person (G2P) services, which include pension payments, tax and fee collection, and other payments. The Bank serves its customers in over 20 countries.

United Bank Limited

United Bank is engaged in commercial banking and related services. Co. operates five business segments: Corporate Finance, Trading and Sales, Retail Banking, Commercial Banking and Asset Management. As of Dec 31 2016, Co. operates 1,341 branches inside Pakistan including 47 Islamic Banking branches and 2 branches in Export Processing Zones, and 18 branches outside Pakistan.

Provider
BMA Capital Management Limited
BMA Capital Management Limited

​BMA is amongst the leading financial groups in Pakistan. BMA Capital’s core areas of business include Capital Markets, Corporate Finance & Advisory, Asset Management, and Financial Products Distribution. BMA Capital is the leader in privatisation advisory in Pakistan, having successfully advised on over 50% of all privatisations in Pakistan, by value, in transactions valued in excess of US$4 billion. Recent transactions include joint lead managing the $813 million GDR Offering of 10% of OGDCL on the London Stock Exchange in 2006-07, and advising Etisalat on their successful acquisition of a 26% strategic stake in Pakistan Telecommunications Company Limited (PTCL) for US$2.6 billion, the largest M&A transaction and foreign direct investment in Pakistan’s history. The firm is among the top brokers in the Pakistan equity and treasury markets, and is among a handful of firms that comprehensively cover all segments of the capital markets. This is supported by a very strong and independent research capability, which is quoted regularly in both local and international media. BMA Capital’s retail brokerage brand, BMA Trade, has launched a nationwide network of branches as well as a comprehensive online trading platform, enabling investors across Pakistan to take part in the capital markets.

Analysts
Fawad Khan

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