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BMCE Capital Research Strategy June 2018 -English-

 

  • Slower economic growth in Q1 2018 to +3.2% according to the latest estimates of the HCP, mainly due to the sharp deceleration of the primary sector’s growth rate from +13% in Q1 2017 to +2.7% in Q1 2018;
  • Decrease in outstanding external public debt and treasury debt by 0.4% to MAD 331.1bn and by 1.4% to MAD 151bn respectively in Q1 2018 quarter-on-quarter;
  • BANK-AL-MAGHRIB to maintain the policy rate at 2.25% on the basis of the strengthening of the Moroccan economy’s growth prospects (+3.6% in 2018);
  • Inflation announced at 2.4% in 2018 (including significant price increases in volatile food products and in regulated product prices) and at 1.4% in 2019;
  • Degradation of the Casablanca Stock Exchange flagship indices’ performance at -4.12% for the MASI and -4.78% for the MADEX in y-t-d;
  • Our stock selection, undermined by semi-cyclical stocks, ends the first five months of 2018 with a negative performance (-2.31%) lagging behind its Benchmark (-1.12%) but which remains better than that of the MASI (-4.12%).
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BMCE Capital Global Research
BMCE Capital Global Research

BMCE Capital Global Research is a subsidiary of BMCE Capital Group dedicated to Research and Financial Analysis. It is addressed to professional investors (financial institutions, management companies, etc.) to which it provides information and independent analysis aligned with international standards. BMCE Capital Research covers equities, interest rate, Forex and commodities markets in Morocco, Tunisia and WAEMU region (Bourse Régionale des Valeurs Mobilières, BRVM). Thanks to its latest generation technology platform, to its teams and to those of its partners, the Research Office of BMCE Capital is now able to cover simultaneously several places in Africa and to produce several publications co-branded under its umbrella brand African Securities Network, ASN.

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