Clement Genelot

Specialised Retailing No Safe Haven in the Hell of Inflation

Specialised Retailing
In this Insight, we analyse the underlying reasons for the profit warnings issued by a number of US retail giants in May. These indicate that consumer spending arbitrage could be triggered in Europe as early as during H2 2022. With FY 2022 guidance clearly not pricing in these elements, we are increasingly more cautious on specialised retailing, with our estimates now below consensus figures for all stocks in 2022 and especially 2023.

Metro is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in retail and wholesale. Co.'s operations are divided into four divisions: Metro Cash & Carry, Real, Media-Saturn and Galeria Kaufhof. The Metro Cash & Carry division operates in the cash and carry sector in Europe, Asia and Africa. The Real division is a hypermarket operator in Germany where it operates both stationary stores and an online store. The Media-Saturn division provides an assortment of brand products in consumer electronics retailing. The Galeria Kaufhof division operates department stores in Germany and Belgium. Co. is also a property manager through METRO PROPERTIES GmbH & Co. KG.

Fnac Darty SA

Fnac Darty is engaged in the leisure and entertainment, technology, and household appliances retail market in France and a player on markets in other countries where it operates such as Spain, Portugal, Belgium, the Netherlands and Switzerland. Fnac Darty also has franchise operations in Morocco, Qatar and Ivory Coast.

Maisons du Monde SA

Maisons du Monde offers a range of decoration and furnishing items in a variety of styles and themes. At end-2016, Co. operated a network of 288 stores in seven countries, France, Italy, Spain, Belgium, Luxembourg, Germany, and Switzerland. It also operates an e-commerce platform available in 11 countries. Co.'s product offering contains approximately 16,000 stock-keeping units available in a range of prices. The offer falls into two categories: decorative products, such as household textiles, tableware and kitchenware, mirrors and picture; and furniture, such as beds, tables, chairs, armchairs and sofas, cupboards, bookshelves, junior furniture and outdoor furniture.

Roche Bobois International SAS

Roche Bobois SA, formerly Furn Invest SAS, is a France-based company operating in the furniture design and distribution businesses. It offers a broad range of made-to-order customizable designs, manufactured in small European workshops. The full furniture collection, divided in Living Room, Dining Room, Desks, Bedroom, Outdoor Furniture, and Other Products includes sofas, armchairs, cocktail tables, dining chairs, sideboards, beds, wardrobes, storage and accessories including lighting, cushions and rugs. The Company service offering includes Delivery, Financing, Warranty, Wedding Registry, Maintenance Guide, Catalogues, Interior Design and Online 3D (tridimensional) Planner. The Company operates through retail or franchising stores and owns more than 250 showrooms across the world. It is active in Europe, America, Africa, Asia and Middle East.

Zalando SE

Zalando is an e-commerce group based in Germany. Co. is engaged in the online retailing of clothing, shoes and accessories for women, men and children. Co.'s product offering include more than 1,500 brands, including global and local brands, as well as private labels, including shoes, clothing and accessores as well as sportswear and homeware designed especially for the Co. The Co.'s product offering is complimented by the Zalando Lounge and Zalon apps, which provides registered members special offers at discounted prices. Co. also provides a combination of services that include free delivery and returns.

Bryan Garnier
Bryan Garnier

Since 1996, Bryan, Garnier & Co has been growing with an absolute conviction that the investment banking landscape would experience a major revolution: most of the large local generalist banking groups will disappear to the benefit of a handful of global powerhouses, and an emerging group of independent, highly specialised boutique investment banks.

Clement Genelot

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