Report
Clement Genelot

Food Retailing Negotiations to reopen with c.1pt of additional inflation ahead by May

With food inflation re-accelerating after the invasion of Ukraine, the French annual negotiations are reopening. At this stage, we foresee around one point of additional inflation by late May to 4-5% between suppliers and retailers. Systeme U and Leclerc are shifting their strategy and becoming more eager to absorb part of this inflation in their P&L… Not raising their in-store prices by another 100bp implies a 70bp cut on gross margin and c.EUR200m at Carrefour France (more than offset by cost-cutting) and c.EUR90m at Casino France. We continue to favor Carrefour for its self-help measures and its M&A appeal, context seems to improve in Europe for Ahold Delhaize, Casino remains in trouble.
Provider
Bryan Garnier
Bryan Garnier

Since 1996, Bryan, Garnier & Co has been growing with an absolute conviction that the investment banking landscape would experience a major revolution: most of the large local generalist banking groups will disappear to the benefit of a handful of global powerhouses, and an emerging group of independent, highly specialised boutique investment banks.

Analysts
Clement Genelot

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