Report
Cedric Rossi ...
  • Clement Genelot

SECTOR | Retail & E.commerce | Fashion: Winner(s) take all?

Even before the Covid-19 pandemic disrupted the global economy, the USD2.5tn fashion industry was already in a state of high nervousness given trade tensions, economic slowdown, lower apparel spending and digitalisation. Needless to say, the Covid-19 outbreak will have dire consequences for the global fashion industry, with an estimated contraction of 27-30% in 2020. In addition to the impact of store closures since March, we believe the greatest immediate threat to fashion groups is excess inventory from spring/summer 2020 collections, estimated at EUR140-160bn worldwide, more than double normal levels. Clearing this excess stock will lead to steep discounts.
Underlyings
Zalando SE

Zalando is an e-commerce group based in Germany. Co. is engaged in the online retailing of clothing, shoes and accessories for women, men and children. Co.'s product offering include more than 1,500 brands, including global and local brands, as well as private labels, including shoes, clothing and accessores as well as sportswear and homeware designed especially for the Co. The Co.'s product offering is complimented by the Zalando Lounge and Zalon apps, which provides registered members special offers at discounted prices. Co. also provides a combination of services that include free delivery and returns.

Provider
Bryan Garnier
Bryan Garnier

Since 1996, Bryan, Garnier & Co has been growing with an absolute conviction that the investment banking landscape would experience a major revolution: most of the large local generalist banking groups will disappear to the benefit of a handful of global powerhouses, and an emerging group of independent, highly specialised boutique investment banks.

Analysts
Cedric Rossi

Clement Genelot

Other Reports on these Companies
Other Reports from Bryan Garnier

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Get in touch