Report
Research Team

Poland Coverage Nov 2 2018

• Runoffs bring no major surprises, PiS doesn't make headway into big cities
• Poland is net EUR 329mn beneficiary with EU in Sep, inflows slow
• NBP delays inflation projection publication to Nov 13
• Govt legislation plan holds for one-time boost to lowest, other pensions
• PiS leads with 42%, KO gets high 30% - Estymator
• Petrol prices fall, but diesel prices rise in late October
• Budget for 2019 starts life with contained deficit (tables)
• PiS won local-election first round with 34%, runoffs coming on Sun.
• EBRD ups GDP growth forecast by 0.7pp to 4.7% for 2018, 0.3pp to 3.6% for 2019
• PMI falls 0.1pt m/m to 50.4 in Sep, worst in two years
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