Report
Denis Ferrand
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Synthèse conjoncturelle du 21 au 27 juin 2017 : Les taux souverains italiens et espagnols résistent aux turbulences bancaires

Analyse synthétique des faits et chiffres marquants de la conjoncture mondiale.

Après le sauvetage début juin de la 6°banque espagnole, Banco Popular, via le mécanisme de résolution européen, le 25 juin l'Etat italien a annoncé la recapitalisation de deux banques placées en liquidation (Veneto Banca et Banca Popolare di Vicenza).

Alors qu'un tel contexte aurait probablement suscité des tensions lors de la crise de 2011-12, les taux des obligations d’Etat à dix ans d’Italie et d’Espagne ont respectivement reculé de 38 et 34 points de base depuis un pic touché le 7 juin. La première réaction des marchés paraît ainsi positive mais sera toutefois à surveiller.

Sur le front macroéconomique, la tonalité des indicateurs reste des plus positives en Europe. Aux Etats-Unis l’investissement productif ne parvient pas à trouver un second souffle.

Provider
Coe-Rexecode
Coe-Rexecode

 
Coe-Rexecode is a french macroeconomic research institute created in 1957.  Missions of Coe-Rexecode are twofold:

(1) Global business cycle analysis and forecasts of macroeconomic trends

We are devoted to the analysis of the worldwide economic situation, for the benefit of our clients :  firms of the industrial and financial services sectors, employer federations and public organizations. Our macroeconomic research is produced and delivered by our own staff of economists, with proven experience in macroeconomic analysis and forecasting. They are assisted by a team of statisticians and documentalists. Our services:

  • Analysis of economic conditions in the major developed and emerging economies,
  • Forecasts of key macroeconomic variables : GDP growth, inflation, interest rates, exchange rates, exports… for about 50 countries,
  • Global detailed macro scenarios for the major developed and emerging economies,
  • Country-specific and thematic research,
  • Advanced modeling,
  • Global access to an enriched statistical and documentary database.

->  Our weekly  global economic overview  ( in French)  is available for purchase on ResearchPool -  FREE DEMO HERE

> For more information on our packages of products and services, feel free to contact us.

(2) A sound expertise in the field of economic policy to weigh in the public debate

More specifically, Coe-Rexecode has developed in-depth knowledge of competitiveness issues for French and European economies : annual report, annual survey of European Purchasers concerning their appreciation of the products from 10 national origins, Scoreboard of the main competitiveness indicators.
-> Our working papers on economic policy issues are available free of charge on our web site.

Analysts
Denis Ferrand

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