Report
Erin Stafford ...
  • Steven Jellinek

DBRS Morningstar Monthly Highlights - July Remittance

DBRS Morningstar is pleased to resume the Monthly Highlights report, which covers CMBS market activity and performance for conduit and SASB loans (excluding agency loans). In July:

-- The delinquency rate set another postpandemic low, edging down eight basis points (bps) to 5.68%.
-- The delinquency rate has declined for 13 consecutive months and is down 409 bps from a year ago.
-- The special-servicing unpaid principal balance (UPB) and special-servicing rate fell to postpandemic lows of $44.8 billion and 8.02%, respectively, but sit well above postcrisis lows of $13.41 billion and 2.59% set in February 2020.
-- The payoff rate of maturing CMBS loans rose 8.6 percentage points to 55.9% in July from 47.3% in June but has remained below 60% since February because of maturing hotel and retail loans that face steep refinancing hurdles.
-- The year-to-date payoff rate stands at 53.1%, slightly ahead of 2020’s 48.6% payoff rate. More than $3.7 billion is scheduled to mature through the end of the year and we expect the payoff rate to finish the year between 50% and 55%, based on depressed cash flow for many hotels and retail properties.
Provider
DBRS Morningstar
DBRS Morningstar

DBRS Morningstar is a global credit ratings business with 700 employees in eight offices globally. DBRS and Morningstar Credit Ratings are committed to empowering investor success, serving the market through leading-edge technology and raising the bar for the industry.

Together, we are the world’s fourth largest credit ratings agency and a market leader in Canada, the U.S. and Europe in multiple asset classes. We rate more than 2,600 issuers and 54,000 securities worldwide and are driven to bring more clarity, diversity and responsiveness to the ratings process. Our approach and size provide the agility to respond to customers’ needs, while being large enough to provide the necessary expertise and resources. For more details visit us at dbrs.com.

Analysts
Erin Stafford

Steven Jellinek

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