Edison Investment Research - CentralNic Group (CNIC) Team Internet Group - Name change shows clear strategic focus

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Edison Investment Research

Richard Williamson

Team Internet Group - Name change shows clear strategic focus

Team Internet, formerly CentralNic Group, is a diversified UK software company operating through two businesses, Online Presence (internet domain purchasing) and Online Marketing (monetising online traffic). The group marked its name change at a recent capital markets day, where it discussed its evolution from a domain specialist into a broader online platform enabler, facilitating connections between consumers and businesses. Since starting Online Marketing in 2019, the division has become the primary growth driver, delivering high double-digit revenue growth and margin expansion annually. Within its two reporting segments there are four key business lines: Search, Comparison, Performance (all reported within Online Marketing) and Online Presence. Tonic, a leading traffic monetisation platform, sits within Search and is the group’s largest revenue driver, delivering 400% traffic growth since 2021.

21/11/2023 1 EN

Underlying

CentralNic Group

CentralNic Group is a holding company which provides global domain name services. Co. provides Wholesale, Retail and Enterprise services and consultancy for new Top Level Domains (TLDs), Country Code TLD's and Second-Level Domains and it is the owner and registrant of a portfolio of domain names, which it uses as SLD domain extensions and for resale on the domain name aftermarket. The Wholesale Division powers domain names and sells them via an integrated network of third party retailers; the Retail Division sells domain names and related services to end users; and the Enterprise Division sells domain names and related services, consultancy services and licenses software to corporations.

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GB00BCCW4X83 London Stock Exchange United Kingdom

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts

Richard Williamson

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Team Internet Group - Stability amid setbacks

In the face of an advertising market that has not picked up in Q324, Team Internet’s core business has performed creditably. However, Shinez has significantly underperformed expectations and is unlikely to contribute materially to profits in our forecast period. Combined with a moderation in our forecasts for the core business, we now expect earnings to remain broadly flat in FY24 and FY25, which results in a 17.6% reduction to FY25e EPS. The FY25e P/E rating of 5.6x with a 20% free cash flow (FCF) yield looks overly discounted.

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Team Internet Group (TIG LN) - Q3 results - Corporate

Revenue and profit growth slowed in Q3 due to recent acquisition, Shinez, experiencing reduced demand from key partners and Team Internet’s core business seeing continued decline in ad pricing. Whilst the company is repositioning Shinez towards gradually improving profitability, we conservatively lower our estimates for this business to break even for FY24 and FY25 and reduce core business growth, prudently assuming continued pricing headwinds. As a result, we lower underlying EBITDA by 8% and 13% in FY24 and FY25, respectively. Despite this, EBITDA and FCF generation continues to grow through...

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Team Internet Group - Earnings remain resilient

Team Internet’s H1 earnings showed resilience despite continued headwinds in online marketing. Going into the typically seasonally stronger H2, we expect the company’s initiatives in product innovation, vertical integration and international to increasingly influence growth and margin expansion. At 8.2x FY24 earnings, Team Internet continues to trade at a significant discount to peers on our unchanged earnings estimates. We believe this rating remains attractive given the company’s track record, prospects and cash generation.

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The Platform Group - Significant acceleration in growth in Q324

The Platform Group (TPG) reported a strong acceleration in revenue growth and profitability in Q324 as its growing industry presence and subsequent underlying growth provided an increase in most KPIs during the period. Its valuation continues to look attractive versus its online peers if management delivers on its expected growth rates.

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Care REIT (Care), formerly Impact Healthcare REIT, and its tenants continued to perform strongly in Q324. The quarterly EPRA net tangible assets (NTA) return of 2.1% took the year-to-date total to 7.8%, while rent cover increased to 2.3x. Care is well on track to meet its FY24 DPS target of 6.95p (+2.7%), fully covered by adjusted ‘cash’ earnings, with a yield of 8.3%. The company has also announced two new investments, including forward funding the development of a new, high-quality home, at an accretive blended yield in excess of 8% with strong valuation potential.

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Team Internet Group - Name change shows clear strategic focus

Team Internet Group - Stability amid setbacks

Team Internet Group (TIG LN) - Q3 results - Corporate

Team Internet Group - Earnings remain resilient

The Platform Group - Significant acceleration in growth in Q324

Theon International - Clear vision for growth

Care REIT - Strong Q324 and accretive growth

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