Foxtons Group - Strategic momentum and M&A adds to value
In Q323, all three of Foxtons’ divisions outperformed their respective markets, taking market share – the direct result of management action to avoid the same mistakes made during previous downcycles where costs were cut, a position from which it would subsequently struggle to recover. Foxtons’ new strategy focuses growth on non-cyclical revenue streams and decouples performance from sales market cycles. The latest value-enhancing acquisition leads to a net upgrade in estimates in FY24. We therefore raise our ‘base’ case valuation from 59p/share to 62p, which implies more than 60% upside, and our preferred ‘bull’ case valuation from 124p/share to 127p.Foxtons Group is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is engaged in providing residential property sales and lettings services through its network of branches. Co. provides independent mortgage advice and other related services through its mortgage broker, Alexander Hall Associates Limited. Co. has three business segments: sales, which generates commission on sales of residential property; lettings, which earns fees from the letting and management of residential properties; and mortgage broking, which receives commission from the arrangement of mortgages and related products under contracts with financial service providers and receives administration fees from clients.
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