Report

Greggs - Profit outlook maintained for FY22

Greggs’ (GRG) AGM trading update (first 19 weeks of FY22) indicates it continues to trade well in what has undoubtedly become a more challenging environment due to deteriorating consumer confidence. Management’s profit expectations for FY22 of no material profit progression are unchanged as it believes further selective price increases will be required to offset higher cost inflation than originally anticipated, which is likely to be the same for its competitors. The prospective P/E multiples have edged back towards the long-term average of 17.9x, which looks attractive given the forecast growth profile.
Underlying
GREGGS

Greggs is a bakery food on-the-go retailer. Co. provides a range of fresh bakery goods, sandwiches and drinks in its shops. Co. also provides frozen bakery products to its wholesale customers. As of Dec 31 2016, Co. had 1,764 shops in operation Co. had 157 franchised shops operating in travel and other convenience locations, with a particular focus on motorway services and petrol forecourts. Co.'s Balanced Choice products provide choices from a selection of freshly prepared sandwiches, wraps, salads, yoghurts, hot soups, porridge pots and freshly baked savouries.

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Kate Heseltine

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