Greggs - New national lockdown tempers outlook
Greggs’ Q420 sales performance was better than we expected due to (in descending order) a faster recovery in sales despite ongoing and variable COVID-19 restrictions; a strong contribution from the new delivery initiative; and more net new store openings (28) for FY20 versus management’s prior guidance (20). The sales performance, improved profitability and a stronger financial position gives management the confidence to return to prior levels of space expansion. The new national lockdown limits our FY21 PBT forecast increase to c 2%.Greggs is a bakery food on-the-go retailer. Co. provides a range of fresh bakery goods, sandwiches and drinks in its shops. Co. also provides frozen bakery products to its wholesale customers. As of Dec 31 2016, Co. had 1,764 shops in operation Co. had 157 franchised shops operating in travel and other convenience locations, with a particular focus on motorway services and petrol forecourts. Co.'s Balanced Choice products provide choices from a selection of freshly prepared sandwiches, wraps, salads, yoghurts, hot soups, porridge pots and freshly baked savouries.
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