Report

GVC Holdings - Budget not as bad as feared

The Budget has provided long-awaited clarity on a number of gaming-related issues. The implementation of the £2 FOBT stake reduction will begin in October 2019, at the same time as a 600bp increase in remote gaming duty (RGD), from 15% to 21%. This is 1% higher than market expectations, but lower than recent rumours of 25%. We now include a £30m annual EBITDA impact in our forecasts. Also adjusting for an earlier implementation of the FOBT stake limit, we have lowered our FY19e EBITDA by 7%. Our FY20e EBITDA declines by 4%. The stock has fallen c 22% since August and trades at 9.8x EV/EBITDA and 13.0x P/E for FY19e.
Underlying
Entain PLC

GVC Holdings is a holding company. Through its subsidiaries, Co. is an online gaming company, provides business to consumer and business to business services to the online gaming and sports betting markets in Europe and Latin America. Co. operates in two segments, Sports and Gaming. Co. offers sports betting, casinos, games, and poker through online and mobile under the Sportingbet brand; and online bingo, sportsbook, casino, and poker access under the Betboo brand, as well as operates an online casino Website for German-speaking markets under the CasinoClub brand. Co. also various online poker games, including No Limit Texas Hold'em, Fixed Limit Texas Hold'em, and Pot Limit Texas Hold'em.

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Victoria Pease

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