Report

Nicox - Continuing NCX-470 development strategy

Nicox’s headline FY22 results were in line with the Q422 update provided in January, although greater clarity on gross product sales royalties suggests that Vyzulta sales traction is stronger than we had anticipated. Gross product sales-related licensing revenue came in at €5.2m (+39% year-on-year), the bulk of which we assume was derived from Vyzulta royalties, above our €4.9m estimate. We modestly increased our Vyzulta forecasts, although we note that NCX-470 remains the primary driver for our valuation, and our local currency NCX-470 estimates are unchanged. Given a strengthening euro versus the US dollar and increases in our R&D cost estimates following the FY22 results, we revise our rNPV valuation down to €166.8m (versus €190.4m previously).
Underlying
Nicox SA

Nicox is engaged in the ophthalmic market. Co. markets several ophthalmic products in the United States and Europe with a portfolio of therapies and diagnostic tools that can help people to enhance their sight. Co. has developed naproxcinod, the first member of the Cyclooxygenase-Inhibiting Nitric Oxide-Donating (CINOD) class of anti-inflammatory agents, for the treatment of the signs and symptoms of osteoarthritis. Beyond naproxcinod, Co. has a pipeline containing multiple nitric oxide-donating NCEs, which are in clinical development with partners for the treatment of diseases, such as hypertension, glaucoma and Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD).

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Sean Conroy

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