Edison Investment Research - Orexo AB (ORX) Orexo - Revolving around US Zubsolv 2018 positioning

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Edison Investment Research

Susie Jana

Orexo - Revolving around US Zubsolv 2018 positioning

Orexoâ€™s Q3 highlighted a strong financial quarter. Zubsolv US revenue declines of 15% vs Q316 (Q316 benefited from significant one-time wholesaler stocking of Zubsolv) were offset by tight cost control, which resulted in positive EBITDA and operating cash flow generation for an eighth consecutive quarter. For 2018, US commercial and public formulary coverage has improved, which will have a positive impact on US Zubsolv sales from 1 January vs 2017 sales. However, a continued skew towards the public market segment in the US opioid dependency market class in general has led to downward revisions to our US Zubsolv peak sales forecasts. Also, the EMA has approved Zubsolv for Europe and partner Mundipharma should launch in H118. Our revised valuation is SEK2.7bn.

13/12/2017 10 EN

Underlying

Orexo AB

Orexo is a pharmaceutical company and engaged in the development and commercialization of drugs based on patented drug delivery technologies primarily in Sweden and the United States. Co.'s product portfolio includes Zubsolv® tablets for maintenance treatment of opioid dependence; Abstral® for the treatment of breakthrough pain in cancer patients; Edluar®, an active substance zolpidem and for the treatment of short-term insomnia; Diabact UBT, which is used to diagnose the presence of Helicobacter pylori, a bacterium that causes gastric ulcers; and Heliprobe System, which is a doctor's office test to detect the presence of the gastric ulcer bacterium, Helicobacter pylori.

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SE0000736415 Nasdaq Nordic Stockholm Sweden

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts

Susie Jana

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