Edison Investment Research - Orexo AB (ORX) The highs and lows of 2016

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Edison Investment Research

Lala Gregorek

The highs and lows of 2016

Orexo made significant progress in 2016 towards becoming a sustainable speciality pharma company, with continued Zubsolv revenue growth contributing to a first full year of profitability. Key achievements included the ex-US global Mundipharma licence deal for Zubsolv (EMA filing in Q4), and the first large exclusive Medicaid FFS contract in Maryland. Despite this, and ahead of major newsflow in 2017, IP infringement litigation remains a stock overhang with Orexo trading near 52-week lows. We believe the market’s view of Zubsolv’s prospects is too pessimistic. Our new assumptions, updated for evolving market dynamics, generate a SEK3.16bn or SEK91/share valuation (vs SEK4.54bn or SEK131/share).

21/02/2017 16 EN

Underlying

Orexo AB

Orexo is a pharmaceutical company and engaged in the development and commercialization of drugs based on patented drug delivery technologies primarily in Sweden and the United States. Co.'s product portfolio includes Zubsolv® tablets for maintenance treatment of opioid dependence; Abstral® for the treatment of breakthrough pain in cancer patients; Edluar®, an active substance zolpidem and for the treatment of short-term insomnia; Diabact UBT, which is used to diagnose the presence of Helicobacter pylori, a bacterium that causes gastric ulcers; and Heliprobe System, which is a doctor's office test to detect the presence of the gastric ulcer bacterium, Helicobacter pylori.

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SE0000736415 Nasdaq Nordic Stockholm Sweden

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts

Lala Gregorek

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