Edison Investment Research - Pan African Resources PLC (PAF) Pan African Resources - Anticipating a happy valentine

Report

Edison Investment Research

Alison Turner

Pan African Resources - Anticipating a happy valentine

Pan African Resources’ (PAF’s) production update of 22 January revealed H124 production of 98,458oz gold, compared with prior guidance of 94,000–98,000oz, Edison’s expectation of 96,000oz and a figure of 92,307oz in H123. For the moment, we have left our financial forecasts for H124 unchanged, seeing roughly equally balanced upside and downside risks to our estimates pending actual results on 14 February. However, we note that the gold price is currently trading almost US$200/oz above our assumed H224 level.

26/01/2024 1 EN

Underlying

Pan African Resources PLC

Pan African Resources is a mid-tier African-focused precious metals producer. Co.'s business activities were conducted through the following business segments: Barberton Mines (including Barberton Tailings Retreatment Plant), located in Barberton, South Africa; Evander Mines (including Evander Mines' Tailings Retreatment Plant), located in Evander, South Africa;Corporate; and Pan African Resources Funding Company Proprietary Limited.

See profile

GB0004300496 London Stock Exchange United Kingdom

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

See profile

Analysts

Alison Turner

Other Reports on these Companies

Edison Investment Research

Pan African Resources - A happy valentine

Pan African Resources’ (PAF’s) H124 results were released on 14 February, with earnings (and headline earnings) within 1.5% of our forecast and normalised headline earnings within 1.2% of our forecast (see Exhibit 4). While only one asset (BTRP) achieved record adjusted EBITDA, PAF’s three other main assets all recorded adjusted EBITDA numbers that were close to record levels in rand terms to result in a record adjusted EBITDA outcome for the group as a whole of ZAR1,512.6m – 20.2% above H222 and a comfortable 19.6% above the next highest number, of ZAR1,264.8m, set in H122.

February 20, 2024 February 20, 2024 1 EN

Edison Investment Research

Pan African Resources - Valuation up 22.2% with new gold price forecasts

On 22 November, Pan African Resources (PAF) announced that operations to date in FY24 had performed in line with, or better than, expected, with gold production for H124 anticipated to be in the range 94,000–98,000oz (cf 92,307oz in H123). As a result, it increased its production guidance for FY24 to 180,000–190,000oz, which caused us to increase our production estimate in turn by 1.9% (or 3,575oz) to 189,725oz. The change made only a modest difference to our EPS forecasts for FY24 (see Exhibit 2). However, it increases our confidence in those estimates, which are already at the top of a relat...

December 1, 2023 December 1, 2023 1 EN

Sylvania Platinum - Annual guidance maintained, despite strike

Sylvania has maintained annual production guidance despite Q324 results being affected by a 22-day strike, resulting in 10% lower production. The PGM basket price was stable during the quarter, with positive platinum momentum offset by palladium weakness and rhodium prices stable. Operating costs increased by 5.6%, in line with expectations. FY24 production guidance is for 75,000–76,000oz, despite the challenges in Q324. Our PGM outlook is unchanged from our moderated forecasts earlier in the year. We have cut our FY24 EPS forecast by 2.2% from 7.4p to 7.2p on the Q324 miss, but have lifted ou...

May 3, 2024 May 3, 2024 1 EN

Richard Williamson

Richard Williamson

1Spatial - Investing in the transformational SaaS opportunity

1Spatial’s FY24 results reflected robust momentum for the enterprise business and continued improvement in the revenue mix, with investment in growth suppressing margin and cash generation. This investment phase will continue in FY25 to lay the foundation for transformational growth from 1Streetworks and in the US in the coming years. Our scenario analysis indicates the upside from successful execution is significant, with further wins for 1Streetworks and in the US being the key catalysts for more rapid, operationally geared growth to be priced in.

May 3, 2024 May 3, 2024 1 EN

Richard Williamson

Richard Williamson

Datatec - FY24 underlying EPS more than doubles y-o-y

In a second more detailed trading update for FY24, Datatec confirmed revenue growth of 6% to $5.46bn, with Westcon International delivering excellent performance, Logicalis International having a strong H2 and Logicalis Latin America affected by difficult market conditions in Argentina and Brazil. The company also provided provisional EPS data, with reported EPS likely to come in ahead of our forecast and underlying EPS just below our forecast. We maintain our forecasts pending FY24 results on or around 27 May.

May 2, 2024 May 2, 2024 1 EN

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

Email Address*

Choose Password* ( 6 or more characters )

Due to regulatory restrictions regarding the distribution of financial research, this report is restricted to a specific region or investor type. Get access to exclusive reports by answering the questions below.

Select your country*

Get financial insights straight to your inbox

By clicking "register" you accept the Terms and Conditions & Privacy Policy

Already on ResearchPool?

Almost there...

Are you a professional investor?

Select your country

REGISTER

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

In order to access this report please create an account.

LOGIN

Pan African Resources - Anticipating a happy valentine

Pan African Resources - A happy valentine

Pan African Resources - Valuation up 22.2% with new gold price forecasts

Sylvania Platinum - Annual guidance maintained, despite strike

1Spatial - Investing in the transformational SaaS opportunity

Datatec - FY24 underlying EPS more than doubles y-o-y

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe

ResearchPool Subscriptions

This report is only available to subscribers

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe