Edison Investment Research - Pan African Resources PLC (PAF) Pan African Resources - Forecast upgrade

Report

Edison Investment Research

Alison Turner

Pan African Resources - Forecast upgrade

Pan African Resources (PAF) announced its FY23 interim results in the context of known production results and a JSE listing requirement paragraph 3(b) trading statement that indicated both earnings per share and headline earnings per share (HEPS) in the range 1.40–1.64c at the interim stage. In the event, HEPS and EPS for the six-month period were exactly in the middle of the guided range at 1.52c/share. In the wake of the H123 results, we have upgraded our forecast for normalised HEPS for FY23 from 3.82c/share to 4.17c/share (assuming the gold price remains at US$1,835/oz for the remainder of the year). NB Our upgrade would have been to 3.91c/share had our gold price forecast for the balance of the year remained unchanged at US$1,749/oz. Further out, we estimate that development of additional productive assets will increase PAF’s production to c 250koz in 2026 and its normalised HEPS to c 6.00c/share.

16/02/2023 1 EN

Underlying

Pan African Resources PLC

Pan African Resources is a mid-tier African-focused precious metals producer. Co.'s business activities were conducted through the following business segments: Barberton Mines (including Barberton Tailings Retreatment Plant), located in Barberton, South Africa; Evander Mines (including Evander Mines' Tailings Retreatment Plant), located in Evander, South Africa;Corporate; and Pan African Resources Funding Company Proprietary Limited.

See profile

GB0004300496 London Stock Exchange United Kingdom

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

See profile

Analysts

Alison Turner

Other Reports on these Companies

SmartInsider

Pan African Resources: 2 directors

Two Directors at Pan African Resources bought 1,439,998 shares at between 5.620ZAR and 5.650ZAR. The significance rating of the trade was 53/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Close periods where trading activity is restricted under lis...

Free Trial

May 14, 2024 May 14, 2024 1 EN

Edison Investment Research

Pan African Resources - A happy valentine

Pan African Resources’ (PAF’s) H124 results were released on 14 February, with earnings (and headline earnings) within 1.5% of our forecast and normalised headline earnings within 1.2% of our forecast (see Exhibit 4). While only one asset (BTRP) achieved record adjusted EBITDA, PAF’s three other main assets all recorded adjusted EBITDA numbers that were close to record levels in rand terms to result in a record adjusted EBITDA outcome for the group as a whole of ZAR1,512.6m – 20.2% above H222 and a comfortable 19.6% above the next highest number, of ZAR1,264.8m, set in H122.

February 20, 2024 February 20, 2024 1 EN

Edison Investment Research

Pan African Resources - Anticipating a happy valentine

Pan African Resources’ (PAF’s) production update of 22 January revealed H124 production of 98,458oz gold, compared with prior guidance of 94,000–98,000oz, Edison’s expectation of 96,000oz and a figure of 92,307oz in H123. For the moment, we have left our financial forecasts for H124 unchanged, seeing roughly equally balanced upside and downside risks to our estimates pending actual results on 14 February. However, we note that the gold price is currently trading almost US$200/oz above our assumed H224 level.

January 26, 2024 January 26, 2024 1 EN

Basilea Pharmaceutica - Cresemba milestone payments continue to roll in

Basilea Pharmaceutica has announced the triggering of a US$1.25m milestone payment from Pfizer, triggered by sustained strong sales of Cresemba in the Asia-Pacific region and China. This is the second FY24 milestone payment for the region and is incremental to the payment received in March. We note that, according to the latest available data, total in-market sales of Cresemba amounted to US$473m in the 12 months ending December 2023, representing a +26% year-on-year increase. Basilea is preparing to launch its Phase III programme for fosmanogepix, a broad-spectrum antifungal therapy, with the...

May 17, 2024 May 17, 2024 1 EN

Toby Thorrington

Toby Thorrington

AAC Clyde Space - Solid start to the year with further order growth

AAC Clyde Space offers exposure to the fast-growing low Earth orbit space market. A solid start to the year and continued order momentum are encouraging. We also note the internal restructuring to promote delivery of the group’s products and services. We expect this combination to drive an improving performance, albeit within the lumpy nature of the business, in turn improving investor confidence and the stock’s valuation.

May 17, 2024 May 17, 2024 1 EN

Richard Williamson

Richard Williamson

Tinexta - Typical seasonality in Q124

Tinexta’s Q124 results showed good progress in the two divisions that typically demonstrate more consistent (through the year) growth, Cyber Security and Digital Trust, which management expects to deliver higher growth over the next few years. Business Innovation demonstrated its typical seasonality and management therefore remains confident about the outlook for the year.

May 17, 2024 May 17, 2024 1 EN

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

Email Address*

Choose Password* ( 6 or more characters )

Due to regulatory restrictions regarding the distribution of financial research, this report is restricted to a specific region or investor type. Get access to exclusive reports by answering the questions below.

Select your country*

Get financial insights straight to your inbox

By clicking "register" you accept the Terms and Conditions & Privacy Policy

Already on ResearchPool?

Almost there...

Are you a professional investor?

Select your country

REGISTER

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

In order to access this report please create an account.

LOGIN

Pan African Resources - Forecast upgrade

Pan African Resources: 2 directors

Pan African Resources - A happy valentine

Pan African Resources - Anticipating a happy valentine

Basilea Pharmaceutica - Cresemba milestone payments continue to roll in

AAC Clyde Space - Solid start to the year with further order growth

Tinexta - Typical seasonality in Q124

Create a free ResearchPool account to access full reports, get a personalised dashboard and follow providers or companies

Sign-up for free to access full reports immediately

ResearchPool Subscriptions

Get the most out of your insights

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe

ResearchPool Subscriptions

This report is only available to subscribers

Why subscribe?

How to subscribe