Edison Investment Research - Sea Dragon Energy Inc (SDX) SDX Energy - South Disouq first gas and H219 drilling

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Edison Investment Research

Sanjeev Bahl

SDX Energy - South Disouq first gas and H219 drilling

2019 will be an active year for SDX with H119 focused on delivery of first gas at South Disouq, ahead of a return to the drill bit in H219. An eight to nine well programme targets both oil and gas prospectivity in Egypt and appraisal/development locations in Morocco. Drilling activity is expected to be financed through cash flow, undrawn debt ($10m accessible under a reserve-based facility) and an estimated end-FY18 cash position of $15.9m. We expect first gas from South Disouq and increased gas production in Morocco to provide cash flow to support a FY19 capital programme of an estimated US$38m. Our updated risked valuation stands at 99.6p/share (up from 92.7p/share, driven by FX and roll forward of NAV), but we drop our sales and cash flow forecasts for FY19 â€“ a key driver being deferred gas sales in Morocco and a later start-up at South Disouq. Morocco and South Disouq combined make up 67% of our core valuation with contracted sale volumes not levered to the oil price.

08/01/2019 9 EN

Underlying

Sea Dragon Energy Inc

SDX Energy is engaged in the exploration, acquisition, development and production of oil and natural gas in Africa and Egypt. As of Dec 31 2010, total gross proved reserves for light and medium oil consisted of 3,593 thousand barrels ("mbbls"), natural gas liquids consisting of 211 mbbls and natural gas consisting of 2,575 million cubic feet.

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CA78410A1075 Canada

Provider

Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts

Sanjeev Bahl

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SDX Energy - South Disouq first gas and H219 drilling

SDX Energy - Termination of coverage

SDX Energy - In an enviable position in the sector

SDX Energy - Sobhi sole risk delivered a commercial discovery

Record - AUME momentum and a sharper focus

Actinogen Medical - Funding in place through key catalysts

Henderson Opportunities Trust - A differentiated exposure to smaller companies

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