Report

Easy to predict, very hard to emulate

Secure Income REIT’s (SIR) FY16 results show income in line with expectations and 14.4% NAV growth per share. SIR has some of the longest leases in the sector, on either fixed or uncapped, upward-only RPI-linked rent reviews. Fixed debt and formulaic advisory costs lead to high predictability and lock in profits to support a rising and dependable dividend. Despite a material valuation gain, portfolio net initial yield was flat year-on-year as yield tightening on existing assets was offset by the acquisition of the Travelodge portfolio in October at a 7% yield. While the market appears to value SIR in line with long-lease peers on an earnings yield basis, the strong likelihood of NAV appreciation driven by rising rents may not be fully recognised. Our forecasts support the manager’s expectation of 11% compounded annual NAV and dividend returns to 2021.
Underlying
Secure Income REIT PLC

Secure Income REIT is a real estate investment trust company which focuses in investing in real estate assets providing long term rental income and protection against inflation. Co. provides opportunity to capitalize on investor demand for secure income streams and foundation from which to build a sizeable and balanced portfolio that deliver attractive returns for its shareholders. As of Dec 31 2016, Co. owned three portfolios of 81 properties which located in the U.K and Germany.

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Julian Roberts

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