Edison Investment Research - SECURE TRUST BANK PLC (STB) Secure Trust Bank - Upbeat update

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Edison Investment Research

Pedro Fonseca

Secure Trust Bank - Upbeat update

Secure Trust Bank’s (STB) Q3 trading update disclosed that Q3 was stronger than expected and FY20 earnings are likely to be well ahead of consensus forecasts. Loan repayment holidays in its Motor Finance and Retail Finance divisions were down remarkably and credit quality is not deteriorating. Loan demand is strengthening after the lockdown. Capital and liquidity remain good. The bank remains cautious due to continued COVID-19 and Brexit uncertainty and is still not providing formal guidance. We are upping our earnings forecasts and fair value from 1,704p to 1,756p. In our view, the valuation remains depressed compared to fundamentals with banking stocks still out of favour. STB trades on an FY20 P/BV of 0.53x, yet it has a strong track record of value creating returns (ROE above COE), a good capital base and liquidity. The Q3 good news reinforces our view that we are unlikely to see book value deterioration during this downturn to justify any NAV discount.

28/10/2020 7 EN

Underlying

SECURE TRUST BANK PLC

Secure Trust Bank is involved in banking and financial services. Co.'s segments are: real estate finance, which include residential and commercial investment and development loans; asset finance, which include loans to small and medium sized enterprises; commercial finance, which include invoice discounting and invoice factoring; personal lending, which include unsecured consumer loans; motor finance, which include hire purchase agreements; retail finance, which include point of sale unsecured finance; and residential mortgages, which is for the self-employed, contract workers. As of Dec 31 2017, Co. had total assets of £1.89 billion and total customers deposits of £1.48 billion.

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GB00B6TKHP66 London Stock Exchange United Kingdom

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Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts

Pedro Fonseca

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Secure Trust Bank - Upbeat update

Secure Trust Bank: 5 directors

Secure Trust Bank - FY23 underlying PBT broadly maintained

Secure Trust Bank - V12 Retail Finance to support refreshed targets

Manx Financial Group - Termination of coverage

musicMagpie - Termination of coverage

Topps Tiles - Accelerating growth through Q125

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