Report

SIGA Technologies - Second quarter as expected, onward to H223

SIGA has reported Q223 results, which came in largely as expected, and management has provided key operational highlights. Activity in the second half of the year has started to firm up with upcoming TPOXX deliveries (for H223) and better-than-expected international orders (offsetting IV orders that will likely be received in FY24). We maintain our FY23 product revenue estimate of $155m and note H223 management sales guidance of $143–158m. We await further clarity on PEP immunogenicity trials, which we believe are the next material catalyst. As we incorporate the reported quarterly results and slight shift in revenue mix for the balance of the year, our valuation adjusts to $1.24bn or $17.46 per share (vs $1.25bn or $17.53 per share previously).
Underlying
Siga Technologies Inc.

SIGA Technologies is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the health security market. Health security comprises countermeasures for biological, chemical, radiological and nuclear attacks, vaccines and therapies for emerging infectious diseases, and health preparedness. The company's primary product is an oral formulation of TPOXX?, an antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallpox disease caused by variola virus. The United States Food and Drug Administration has approved oral TPOXX? for the treatment of smallpox.

Provider
Edison Investment Research
Edison Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

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Analysts
Sean Conroy

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