Report
Hendra Lau

Further Rally Expected in Semiconductor ETF SMH

Further Rally Expected in Semiconductor ETF SMH

VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH) tracks a market-cap-weighted index of US-listed semiconductors companies. Such companies include big technology names like and  Nvidia (NVDA: NASDAQ). The ETF is currently up +30% year-to-date making new all time highs and leading the move among few other instruments.

For this article, we’ll be taking a look at the technical weekly and 4 hour charts of SMH based on the :

SMH Weekly Chart

As you can see in the above chart, the current main cycle for SMH started in 2008 low after the financial crisis. Up from there, it rallied higher in a series of which subdivide into 5 waves in lesser degree cycles of each leg.

The current wave V of (III) presented above is looking ideally for a target at $124 – $140 area before another 3 waves correction similar to last year would take place in wave (IV) then the ETF will again resume the rally to new all time highs.

SMH 4H Chart

Using the 4 Hour chart, we can clearly see the 5 waves subdivision of the lesser degree cycles coming up from December 2018 low. Up from there, the ETF is showing a bullish sequence higher which is aiming for target at 100% – $161.8% Fibonacci extension area $124 – $140. Consequently, the short term pullback will be expected to remain supported above $99 low for the ETF to extend further to the upside.


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Elliott Forecast
Elliott Forecast

Elliottwave-Forecast.com (by EME PROCESSING AND CONSULTING LLC) was founded in 2005 by Eric Morera. Since inception our company has provided tailored Financial Market Services to thousands of clients. ElliottWave-Forecast has built a reputation on accurate technical analysis and a winning attitude. By successfully incorporating the Elliott Wave Theory with Market Correlation, Cycles, Proprietary Pivot System, we provide precise forecasts with up-to-date analysis for 52 instruments including FX majors, Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil, TNX and major Equity Indices. Our clients also have immediate access to our proprietary Actionable Trade Setups, Market Overview, 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily & Weekly Wave Counts. Weekend Webinar, Live Screen Sharing Sessions, Daily Technical Videos, Educational Resources, and 24 Hour chat room where they are provided live updates and given answers to their questions. 

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Hendra Lau

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