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Eric Morera

Why do wave counts change? Part 2

 

So, in my previous blog I mentioned the reasons why wave counts must change and be adjusted. Most of it is to do with the fact that rules are violated.

Let’s go into a bit more detail on why else they may change and potentially trick you if you’re on top of the count.

When a wave count turns into a nest.

Lets see you spot a 5 wave up. Lets say you started counting this with wave 1 and 2 and then you see wave 3 unfold, you’re committed to this count. But then you end up counting it like the above. Is this right or wrong? Of course, it’s wrong, because it cleared violated a rule – wave 3 cannot be the shortest wave

Therefore, you have to adjust your count to the following…

If you guessed this, then great! This is clearly now unfolding as a nest right now. You must be very realistic and vigilant when it comes to counting waves and always be ready to adjust your count as the market progresses. Do not marry your count!

Diagonals that potentially change into a nest

As you can see here, an ending diagonal is currently unfolding. This could either wave 1 or 2. In order for us to conclude whether this diagonal is done, we wait for a breakout and potentially wave 4 extreme to break. So, we would wait for a 5 wave down to confirm this has been completed.

What happens next?

Well, we don’t see that break of wedge channel and nor do we see wave 4 break out. Instead wave 4 is not wave 2 of (3) on a higher degree and instead of a diagonal, we are unfolding a nest.

Final words

The market can progress, so can your count. You can read market structure and the structure of the market constantly changes, therefore, you should be willing to change your count too. The important think about the language of the Elliott Wave Theory is that it gives your analysis context. And context is extremely important.

 

Source:-forecast.com/elliottwave/wave-counts-change-part-2/

#elliottwave #trading 

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Elliott Forecast

Elliottwave-Forecast.com (by EME PROCESSING AND CONSULTING LLC) was founded in 2005 by Eric Morera. Since inception our company has provided tailored Financial Market Services to thousands of clients. ElliottWave-Forecast has built a reputation on accurate technical analysis and a winning attitude. By successfully incorporating the Elliott Wave Theory with Market Correlation, Cycles, Proprietary Pivot System, we provide precise forecasts with up-to-date analysis for 52 instruments including FX majors, Gold, Silver, Copper, Oil, TNX and major Equity Indices. Our clients also have immediate access to our proprietary Actionable Trade Setups, Market Overview, 1 Hour, 4 Hour, Daily & Weekly Wave Counts. Weekend Webinar, Live Screen Sharing Sessions, Daily Technical Videos, Educational Resources, and 24 Hour chat room where they are provided live updates and given answers to their questions. 

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Eric Morera

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