FFBH - Bulgarian Economy Q4 2018
Consumption and investments peaked in 2018; The trade deficit put a limit on growth; Unemployment was at an all-time low
- Record consumption and investment spending pushed 2018 GDP growth to 3.1%, Q4’18 GDP added 3.0% boosted by higher GCF.
- HICP change decreased to 2.3% from its mid-2018 cyclical peak.
- Unemployment reached an all-time low of 4.7% at a lower participation.
- Q4’18 exports grew by 2.7% to BGN 14.6bn on growing trade with EU and a boost from an increased trade with China.
- 2018 current account surplus declined 25% .
- The budget met its 2018 targets, capital expenses surged.
- Q4 FDI saw a major increase in equity investment.
- Government debt to 2018 GDP fell by 3.3 p.p. YoY to 22.3%.
First Financial Brokerage House (FFBH) is a leading non-banking financial institution on the Bulgarian capital market. Founded in 1991, FFBH offers the complete spectrum of investment banking services spanning corporate finance, privatisation advisory, mergers and acquisitions, financial consulting, brokerage services, research & analysis and asset management.
FFBH provides its services mainly to major international banks and corporations seeking investment in Bulgaria. FFBH is not only local contractor and partner to its clients but also an information source and provider for all major news and events in the economic and political life of the country.
We are the main contact point for the large majority of foreign and local institutional investors in the Bulgarian equity market. FFBH is providing access to the Bulgarian Stock Exchange by either its highly experienced sales trading desk or by order routing across the Bloomberg network.
Additionally, FFBH is offering a range of tools, specifically tailored for the retail investor. Both domestic and international markets are only a click away, via electronic trading solutions. As a major advantage, our customers are able to benefit from the broad range of Analysis & Research products with premium quality, provided by our team of dedicated analysts.
Clients of our research products are most of the largest foreign and local institutional investors looking for opportunities in Bulgaria. More than 100 investment banks, investment funds and other institutional investors use our Equity research and Economic review on a regular basis. FFBH’s Morning Bulletin and Weekly Bulletin reach more than 300 clients over different countries and continents.
Our major Research and Analysis Services include:
- Semi-Annual Outlook of the Bulgarian economy and the domestic capital markets;
- Equity analyses of the biggest and/or most liquid companies listed on Bulgarian Stock Exchange - Sofia;
- Quarterly Bulgarian Real Estate sector and REITs overview;
- Quarterly Bulgarian Banking System overview;
- Quarterly macroeconomic overeview, with details on the major economic sectors, commentaries, and statistical indicators;
- Daily and Weekly bulletins, including an overview of the capital markets and the most important macroeconomic & corporate events.
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