Frontier Research (Sri Lanka) - Frontier Economic Monthly - March 2016 [Rates View Updated]

Report

Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Economic Monthly - March 2016 [Rates View Updated]

â€‹Executive Summary

- Update to our interest rate view for 2016; increased probability of Adverse Shock scenario materializing

- Given the deteriorating external and fiscal conditions of the country and the negative sentiment created by rating agencies, focus will now be on the potential IMF agreement to support the economy

Focus 1 â€“ A closer look at the trends in recently released National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) and updated inflation forecasts
Focus 2 â€“ Update on external sector performance in 2015

25/03/2016 29 EN

Provider

Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Research is a provider of economic, industry and company research based in Sri Lanka. Our macro research is used for a variety of purposes, including strategic planning, sales forecasting, risk management, and above all, for investment decision making.

Website- frontiergroup.info

See profile

Other Reports from Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Inflation Review - February 2017

â€‹Headline inflation reaches an all-time high of 6.8% YOY under the new base YOY inflation climbs to a high of 6.8% from 5.5% growth in the previous month, largely led by base effects, while F&B inflation also added further upward pressure. Core inflation continues to edge up, rising from an all-time high of 7.0% YOY in the previous month to 7.1% in February.

February 28, 2017 February 28, 2017 5 EN

Frontier Inflation Preview - February 2017

â€‹Inflation to accelerate to 6.5% YOY on base effects YOY inflation to rise to 6.5% from 5.5% in the previous month due to base effects; marginal growth of 0.3% MOM expected. F&B inflation expected to slowdown compared to the rise seen in preceding months; Non-Food not expected to see major movements based on market information available

February 23, 2017 February 23, 2017 12 EN

Frontier Economic Monthly - February 2017

â€‹Key Takeaways -Foreign investors continue to sell out of government securities. However, a reversal in investor sentiment toward emerging market investments in general and the credit outlook upgrade by Fitch could see a reversal of these outflows. -The planned sovereign bond issue and the syndicated loan could help shore up foreign reserves and improve external finances. -LKR will likely be under pressure until foreign outflows recede and/or foreign funds are raised. However, overall depreciation in the LKR will likely be limited this year â€“ in line with our end 2017 views. Focus â...

February 23, 2017 February 23, 2017 12 EN

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Frontier Economic Monthly - March 2016 [Rates View Updated]

Frontier Inflation Review - February 2017

Frontier Inflation Preview - February 2017

Frontier Economic Monthly - February 2017

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