Frontier Research (Sri Lanka) - Frontier Economic Monthly -November 2016

Report

Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Economic Monthly -November 2016

â€‹Executive Summary

-Reiterating our updated end-2017 views on rates and LKR; a decline in interest rates and possibility of a further limited depreciation in the LKR (against the USD) by the end of 2017.
-However, a key message is to remain vigilant given the possibility of black-swan type risks the external environment could bring next year following the drastic changes in the US political trajectory under a Trump presidency.

-The IMF wraps up its second review on the EFF program, commends fiscal performance while highlighting the need to be cautious on the monetary front given continued growth in credit.
Focus 1 â€“ The focus covers our key fiscal forecasts for 2017.

Focus 2 â€“ This focus provides an update on the external sector performance looking at trends in key export and import categories over the past one and a half years.

21/11/2016 36 EN

Provider

Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Research is a provider of economic, industry and company research based in Sri Lanka. Our macro research is used for a variety of purposes, including strategic planning, sales forecasting, risk management, and above all, for investment decision making.

Website- frontiergroup.info

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Other Reports from Frontier Research (Sri Lanka)

Frontier Inflation Review - February 2017

â€‹Headline inflation reaches an all-time high of 6.8% YOY under the new base YOY inflation climbs to a high of 6.8% from 5.5% growth in the previous month, largely led by base effects, while F&B inflation also added further upward pressure. Core inflation continues to edge up, rising from an all-time high of 7.0% YOY in the previous month to 7.1% in February.

February 28, 2017 February 28, 2017 5 EN

Frontier Inflation Preview - February 2017

â€‹Inflation to accelerate to 6.5% YOY on base effects YOY inflation to rise to 6.5% from 5.5% in the previous month due to base effects; marginal growth of 0.3% MOM expected. F&B inflation expected to slowdown compared to the rise seen in preceding months; Non-Food not expected to see major movements based on market information available

February 23, 2017 February 23, 2017 12 EN

Frontier Economic Monthly - February 2017

â€‹Key Takeaways -Foreign investors continue to sell out of government securities. However, a reversal in investor sentiment toward emerging market investments in general and the credit outlook upgrade by Fitch could see a reversal of these outflows. -The planned sovereign bond issue and the syndicated loan could help shore up foreign reserves and improve external finances. -LKR will likely be under pressure until foreign outflows recede and/or foreign funds are raised. However, overall depreciation in the LKR will likely be limited this year â€“ in line with our end 2017 views. Focus â...

February 23, 2017 February 23, 2017 12 EN

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Frontier Economic Monthly -November 2016

Frontier Inflation Review - February 2017

Frontier Inflation Preview - February 2017

Frontier Economic Monthly - February 2017

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