Weekly Wrap:
Secondary market turnover declined 46.02% w/w in the week to record KES 5.24Bn. The trades were spread out across the yield curve with the top five traded bonds accounting for 63.23% of total activity. This month’s issue – IFB1/2018/15Yr (15-year tenor infrastructure bond) – was announced in the course of the week. We hold the view the primary bond issue also led to the subdued secondary market turnover.
USDKES:
The shilling’s performance improved marginally in the week crossing the psychological 103 level to close at 102.90. The performance largely hinged on a weaker dollar, with the dollar index falling 10.0% in the course of 2017.
Money Market:
The average interbank rate edged up 138bps to 6.54% in the week. Interbank volumes increased by KES 7.28Bn to settle at KES 75.36Bn.
This Week’s Outlook: IFB1/2018/15Yr
This month’s primary bond issue is a fifteen-year maturity infrastructure bond; IFB1/2018/15 offering 12.50% coupon. The period of sale runs till Tuesday 23rd January, 2018. The purpose of the primary issue is geared towards funding of infrastructural projects in the current FY2017/18 budget estimates. In the initial budget estimate, KES 265.43Bn (3.20% of estimated FY17/18) was allocated towards completion of on-going infrastructural projects. Our view is that the average yield will average between 12.89% – 13.09%.
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