ALK B ALK-abello A/S Class B

Three-month interim report (Q1) 2021

Three-month interim report (Q1) 2021

ALK reports 9% sales growth in Q1 fuelled by better than expected tablet growth of 32% (unaudited)

The first three months of 2021 represented ALK’s best-ever quarter, with revenue exceeding DKK 1 billion for the first time, despite the continuing effects of COVID. ALK saw revenue growth of 9% and tablet sales growth of 32%, driven by strong performances across the tablet portfolio in Europe and Japan. This comes on top of a strong first quarter last year that was largely unaffected by COVID. Operating profit (EBITDA) increased 14% despite increased activity levels across the organisation. ALK updates its financial outlook for 2021 on stronger tablet sales.

Q1 2021 highlights

  • Total revenue was up 9% in local currencies at DKK 1,021 million (956).
  • Tablet sales grew by 32% to DKK 466 million (356) and continued to be the primary driver of growth. Combined SCIT and SLIT-drops sales were down 10% on the dual effects of COVID and planned product discontinuations.
  • ALK saw revenue growth from all of its regions with sales in Europe up 5%, sales in North America up 16% and revenue from International markets up 29%. Planned product discontinuations impacted growth in Europe by approximately 4 percentage points.
  • Operating profit (EBITDA) increased 14% to DKK 226 million (198), benefiting from operational leverage despite a planned, significant increase in R&D costs.
  • Free cash flow improved to DKK 86 million (21) largely driven by the improved earnings.



Key events and strategic progress

  • ALK continues to execute on its four strategic priorities in order to deliver sustained, high growth and improve profitability. The tablet portfolio now accounts for more than 50% of ALK’s allergy immunotherapy sales, with the most significant contribution coming from Europe, and Germany in particular, as the transition to registered, evidence-based medicines accelerated.
  • COVID continues to distort the allergy market to some extent, primarily in Europe, with some countries experiencing a further wave of infections and taking measures to contain the virus which continues to affect patients’ ability and willingness to visit allergy clinics. ALK is continuously monitoring the impact of COVID on its overall clinical development programme. Importantly, patient recruitment for the key European and North American clinical trial of the house dust mite tablet for allergic rhinitis in children is now proceeding according to plan. Manufacturing and supply remained resilient, and product inventories are still robust.

Improved 2021 financial outlook

ALK is updating its financial outlook for 2021 based on solid Q1 earnings, and a stronger full-year outlook for tablet sales, which is still partly offset by continuing uncertainty around COVID and its ongoing impact on sales of ALK’s legacy products. ALK assumes that patients’ ability and willingness to visit health care professionals will remain somewhat constrained in selected countries over the coming months. As a result:

  • Revenue is now expected to grow 9-12% in local currencies (previously: 8-12), driven by tablet sales growth of ~25% (previously: >20%).
  • EBITDA is now expected at DKK 375-425 million (previously: 325-425), benefiting from the improved tablet sales outlook. ALK still expects an increased gross margin, a significant increase in R&D expenses and a gradual normalisation of sales and marketing activities.
  • Free cash flow is now expected at ~DKK minus 200 million (previously: minus 200-300) reflecting the revised earnings outlook.



Hørsholm, 5 May 2021

ALK-Abelló A/S

Comparative figures for 2020 are shown in brackets. Revenue growth rates are stated in local currencies, unless otherwise indicated

For further information, contact:

Investor Relations: Per Plotnikof, tel. , mobile

Media: Jeppe Ilkjær, mobile         

Today, ALK is hosting a conference call for analysts and investors at 2.00 p.m. (CEST) at which Management will review the financial results and the outlook. The conference call will be audio cast on Please call in before 1.55 p.m. (CEST). Danish participants should call in on tel. and international participants should call in on tel. 4 or . Please use the Participant Pin Code: 84819816#. The conference call will also be webcast live on our website, where the related presentation will be made available shortly before the call begins.

 

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05/05/2021

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Reports on ALK-abello A/S Class B

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Expecting solid start to the year

We expect a solid Q1 report, with likely c11% organic growth as well as good margin progress supporting the 2025 guidance. Based on its footprint, we see minimal effect in case of tariffs on pharmaceuticals, with the biggest risk coming from potential reciprocal ones from Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

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Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Sales trump one-offs in Q4

While one-off costs took the initial focus (albeit broadly pre-warned), a solid underlying performance in Q4 was anchored in the important European tablet sales, which exceeded expectations. We find the 2025 guidance in line with expectations, but see upside risk to consensus on the top line given strong momentum in tablet sales in Europe. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Expecting strong year end

We expect a strong Q4, with c12% organic revenue growth YOY, but the EBIT margin to be under pressure from well flagged one-offs related to optimisation initiatives and revision of its Chinese plans. We expect the 2025 guidance to be in line with expectations and its long-term strategy announced last year for >10% organic revenue growth and a c25% EBIT margin. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

Jesper Ingildsen
  • Jesper Ingildsen

ALK-Abello (Buy, TP: DKK190.00) - Solid momentum reaffirmed

We find ALK’s solid momentum reaffirmed with the strong Q3 results, where higher European tablet sales more than offset the softness in SCIT/SLIT-drops. We believe the results also confirmed continued profitability improvement, leaving ALK on track to meet its 2025 EBIT margin target of c25% and in a position of strength to invest in growth opportunities, with the Neffy deal as a good example. We reiterate our BUY and DKK190 target price.

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