FLASH: UK Nov-18 inflation slows as expected
- UK inflation matched Consensus expectations in Nov-18 as it slowed to 2.3% on the CPI and 3.2% on the RPI with the index printing at 284.6.- Food price inflation slowed sharply, consistent with my proprietary pricing data. Beer and tobacco prices were stronger than I expected, but both were broadly in line with my new database, which I intend to assign more weight to incrementally.
- Further falls in headline inflation are likely to occur in the coming months. An earlier December index date would weigh on airfares, and Ofgem’s energy cap comes into force for January. Sub-2% inflation currently looks likely through 2019.
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