Heteronomics - Preview: UK Oct-18 inflation and Q3 labour market

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Heteronomics

Philip Rush

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Preview: UK Oct-18 inflation and Q3 labour market

- Tuesdayâ€™s labour market report should reveal further good news on wage growth, but there is a risk of a temporary rise in the UR, which would offset that.
- My inflation forecasts for Oct-18 are in line with the Consensus, but there are risks. CPI inflation is on the cusp of rounding higher after its latest disappointment while the RPI is even more precariously balanced but with a downside tilt instead.

12/11/2018 3 EN

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Heteronomics

Heteronomics provides UK-centric macro research. A hallmark attention to detail delivers a depth of analysis beyond what the sell side now delivers. Clients can also experience events that privately provide insights on these topics. Have a bespoke request for research or an event? Let us know. Clients can expect assistance with their own requirements to the extent it doesn't impinge upon other clients. Think of it as retaining an expert economist, without the large overhead.

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Analysts

Philip Rush

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Preview: UK Oct-18 inflation and Q3 labour market

Riksbank: hopeful for vaccine dividend

BoE: preparing policy like a Scout

Italy: Dragging in Draghi

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