UK inflation: Oct-19 surprise repeats history
- UK inflation data for Oct-19 disappointed consensus expectations again, consistent with the pattern of previous years, but broadly matched my forecasts. Clothing prices were surprisingly high but about half of that should unwind in November.- Domestic and underlying cuts of the inflation basket have been softening and this, together with imported disinflation, seems set to keep headline inflation below target in 2020. Some monetary tightening is needed to control pressures beyond.
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