Philip Rush
EUR 55.29 For Business Accounts Only

UK inflation: stable before the Apr-19 surge

- UK inflation data were disappointingly stable, with the CPI at 1.9% and the RPI rate rounding down to 2.44% (index at 288.1).
- Airfares and household energy prices are still set to spike inflation up in April by a potentially surprising degree.
- The BoE’s February forecasts were not disappointed by the latest outcome and should be revised up in May. My modal forecast remains for an Aug-19 rate hike.

Heteronomics provides UK-centric macro research. A hallmark attention to detail delivers a depth of analysis beyond what the sell side now delivers. Clients can also experience events that privately provide insights on these topics. Have a bespoke request for research or an event? Let us know. Clients can expect assistance with their own requirements to the extent it doesn't impinge upon other clients. Think of it as retaining an expert economist, without the large overhead.

Philip Rush

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