UK politics: votes for the people
- The government’s fragile majority risks shattering under internal tensions about Brexit. No form of future trade relationship appears to have a parliamentary majority, but that is not a necessary part of the forthcoming Withdrawal Act.- Difficulties in forming a majority about future trade are likely to climax after Brexit and could force the government to outsource the decision to the public.
- A general election is ill-equipped to solve internal party problems, so the most likely scenario for a pre-2022 one is if a poll bounce seduces Theresa May’s replacement. Under such circumstances, Corbyn should still not take power.
- Holding a referendum on the broad terms of the UK-EU27 trade relationship in 2020 would override personal political preferences and allow a policy to pass.
Heteronomics provides UK-centric macro research. A hallmark attention to detail delivers a depth of analysis beyond what the sell side now delivers. Clients can also experience events that privately provide insights on these topics. Have a bespoke request for research or an event? Let us know. Clients can expect assistance with their own requirements to the extent it doesn't impinge upon other clients. Think of it as retaining an expert economist, without the large overhead.
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