Q2FY19 result highlights
Key positives: Strong volume growth, gross margin expansion & debt reduction
Impact on financials: Factoring strong performance, we have increased our FY19/20/21E earnings estimate by 10%/5%/7%.
Valuations & view
UBL reported yet another stellar performance, with ahead of industry volume growth indicative of continued market share gains across key markets. With underlying industry growth trends remaining positive and supply disruption issues now behind, maintaining ahead of industry volume growth for UBBL shouldn’t be a challenge. Further, better mix, leverage benefit and focus on cost efficiencies, will continue to drive margin expansion (factoring 16% EBITDA CAGR with 120bps margin expansion over FY19-21E). With improved profitability & better working capital management, company remains on track to become debt free in FY20E. Given the strong execution and consistency in earnings delivery, we maintain our Outperformer rating on the stock.
United Breweries is an alcoholic brewing company based in India. Co. is engaged in the manufacturing and marketing of beer made from malt and allied products. Co.'s brewery products include Kingfisher, UB Premium Ice Beer, Charger Extra Strong Beer, Kalyani Black Lable, Kalyani Export Special, Kalyani Black Label Strong, Bullet Super Strong Beer and UB Export. Co. is also engaged in manufacturing of liquors, beer, leather shoes, organic and inorganic petrochemicals, ciprofloxacin, amitriptylene, and ibuprofen. Co.'s other activities include publishing and printing newspaper and journals; selling and servicing of Hitech Medical equipment; operation of a cable television network and others.
IDFC Securities Ltd., a subsidiary of the Infrastructure Development Finance Company (IDFC) wherein the Government of India holds a 20% interest, is India's leading equities broker catering to most of the prominent financial institutions, both foreign and domestic investing in Indian equities. A research team of experienced and dedicated experts ensures the flow of critically investigated stock ideas and portfolio strategies for our clients. Our coverage spans across various growth sectors such as agriculture, automobiles, Consumer Goods, Technology, Healthcare, Infrastructure, Media, Power, Real Estate, Telecom, Capital Goods, Logistics, Cement amongst other sectors. Our clients value us for our strong research-led investment ideas, superior client servicing track record and exceptional execution skills.
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