​With the market expecting the Fed to remain sidelined for some time, sovereign rate differentials have re-emerged as a major factor for demand for US Treausires. As a result foreign flows into Treasuries appear to be on the rise. Indeed, a record high of indirect bidding at this week’s 10-year Treasury auction supports this thesis. Going forward, MIG expects these flows to persist, for 10-year yields to further decline - even challenging their 2016 lows of about 1.60%. These inflows will also impact the US dollar.
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