Report
Paweł Szpigiel

Allegro - A Clean Energy Play Set to Double in Size by 2025

We initiate coverage of Polenergia SA (“Polenergia,” the “Company”) with a buy recommendation and a target price of PLN 62.99. Polenergia is perfectly positioned to capitalize on positive medium-term trends in energy markets. At EU level, increasingly strict environmental standards generate upward pressure on prices of carbon emissions, and policy mechanisms are being created to promote the expansion of economically viable carbon-neutral energy sources. In Poland, RES producers are seeing a shift in policy through increasingly eco-friendly energy legislation. Polenergia has developed a pipeline of renewable energy projects to bring its wind power capacity to 300 MW and set up 120 MW of solar capacity over five years. In addition, the Company has obtained concessions to build wind farms off the Baltic Sea coast, but to move forward it will need to onboard additional sources of funding (we estimate the net present value of phase 1 of the offshore project at PLN 0.77bn). Polenergia also continues to grow its other business segments, including trading, where it recently launched energy aggregation services for independent RES, expected to add ~PLN 6m to this year’s profits and grow consistently in the years ahead as Poland’s RES capacity increases. Markets at the moment are bullish about low-carbon technologies, as reflected in massive ESG fund inflows inflows, and we see PEP as ripe for further re-rating with an EV/EBITDA ratio that shows a 15% discount to the peer multiple, which itself has expanded by 30% over the last five years. 

Underlying
Allegro.eu SA

Provider
mBank
mBank

Set up in 1986, mBank (originally BRE – Export Development Bank) is Poland’s 4th largest universal banking group in terms of total assets and 5th by net loans and deposits at the end of June 2019. mBank has one of the oldest brokerages in Poland – we have been providing brokerage services since 1991 - and the biggest, serving about 300 ths clients.

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Analysts
Paweł Szpigiel

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